A string of facts don't draw a conclusion on their own, just as a set of numbers don't yield a sum on their own.
Facts are not in dispute, the conclusions drawn by the adding of those facts together to reach a conclusion is disputable...not a proof of a conclusion...it is just an opinion of the scientist, not a scientific fact.
You do understand the difference, yes?
Yes, the thread is about Hitchens and his flawed reasoning. Is Hitchens alone is drawing speculative conclusions from facts?
Yes, he is not alone.
Do you disagree that a majority opinion of scientific speculations is not in itself a scientific conclusion?
"Far more credible" is whose opinion? Yours? Other scientists? Perhaps, but being more "credible" is an opinion, not a scientific fact, no?
I'm not trying to sway anyone's opinion, people should be free to hold any particular opinion about any speculation of anyone else...but please, let's not confuse scientific fact with speculations based on limited data and limited scientific facts that on their own do not reach any particular conclusion.
You will not that I think jem is wrong in his conclusions as much as I think the atheists are wrong in their conclusions...thinking their conclusions are "more probable" than their counterparts, when there is no reasonable manner in which to determine what actually is the real conclusion.
Just guessing in the wind...
Yes, Popper is right that a theory that is unfalsifiable is a weaker than a theory that can be falsified, but when theories show no method to falsify them, like cosmological theories, or theories of unguided evolution...simply because a guided pattern cannot be found...are equally weak.
Many people out there are a lot smarter than all of us, some believe in God, some believe in non God, some have no belief in God or non God...but they are all human beings and fallible.
So why subscribe to any of their opinions and hold their beliefs?
Personal choice, which is everyone's right to have and to hold, but no one's right to force down the throats of anyone else, or use a political process to demand they agree with the opinion of another, whether that opinion is based on the ideas of a scientist/scientists or a theist/theists.
What is the real crux of these arguments?
That "my thinking" is better than your thinking...in an arena where there can be no proof?
Seems silly, doesn't it?
p.s. Since you admit Popper is smarter than you are, and even though you have read his books, that would yield you not in a position to evaluate his work actually...you might admire it, but you are not on a level where you could possibly evaluate its truth on the scientific level...as you don't have that level of understanding, right?
How can a lesser man judge the intelligence or a greater man? He can't really...only one on the same level could be in a position to evaluate the ideas properly...
So just as jem selectively picks some scientists that agree with his basic premise, the atheists select and choose scientists that agree with their basic premise...which suggests that neither side is practicing science, merely voting in a popularity poll for the side they are attracted to...because they already agree with that side or point of view.
Quote from Gabfly1:
The scientific theories are based on the available facts, such as they are. These theories are far more credible than the "theories" that people just pull out of their armpits that are in no way falsifiable. And as Karl Popper pointed out, a theory that is unfalsifiable is to that extent a weak theory. So let us not make the mistake of false equivalency.
This thread is about Christopher Hitchens. Unless posters have read any of his books, which I have, then they are not really in a position to judge his work. His books are in full and proper context and with a full bibliography of references. That is the place to start rather than accepting at face value the parsing out of carefully chosen snippets by his detractors. Thinking people should know better. You may not agree with the man, or even like him, but you should give him his due. He is a lot smarter than most of us here.