American death toll estimate 100-200k according to COVID task force

They left out medical errors.
"
Study Suggests Medical Errors Now Third Leading Cause of Death in the U.S.
Physicians advocate for changes in how deaths are reported to better reflect reality
Release Date: May 3, 2016
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10 percent of all U.S. deaths are now due to medical error. - Click to Tweet
Third highest cause of death in the U.S. is medical error.- Click to Tweet
Medical errors are an under-recognized cause of death. - Click to Tweet

Analyzing medical death rate data over an eight-year period, Johns Hopkins patient safety experts have calculated that more than 250,000 deaths per year are due to medical error in the U.S. Their figure, published May 3 in The BMJ, surpasses the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC’s) third leading cause of death — respiratory disease, which kills close to 150,000 people per year.
https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/new...rs_now_third_leading_cause_of_death_in_the_us
"

https://theweek.com/speedreads/9061...irus-becomes-third-leading-cause-daily-deaths
COVID-19 vs. Top 15 Causes of Death in the U.S. (Extrapolated Daily Averages)
IMPORTANT: this visualization does not imply that COVID-19 is the third leading cause of mortality in the U.S.

CLICK ON THE VISUALIZATION TO WATCH
03/31/2020
Heart Disease
1774
Cancer
1641
Accidents
466
Chronic Lung Disease
439
Stroke
401
Alzheimer's
333
Diabetes
229
Flu & Pneumonia
153
Kidney Disease
139
Suicide
129
Liver Disease
114
Sepsis
112
High Blood Pressure
97
Parkinson's Disease
88
Lung Obstruction
55
Editors-in-chief Jeremy O'Grady (United Kingdom edition)
William Falk (United States edition)
Categories News magazine
Frequency Weekly
Publisher Adam Dub (United States edition)
Total circulation
(2016) 206,251 (UK)[1]
578,163 (US)[2]
First issue 1995 (UK edition)
April 2001 (US edition)
October 2008 (Australian edition)
Final issue October 2012 (Australian edition)
Company Dennis Publishing (UK edition)
The Week Publications (US edition)
 
easymon1 said:
They left out medical errors.
"
Study Suggests Medical Errors Now Third Leading Cause of Death in the U.S.
Physicians advocate for changes in how deaths are reported to better reflect reality
Release Date: May 3, 2016
Share Fast Facts

10 percent of all U.S. deaths are now due to medical error. - Click to Tweet
Third highest cause of death in the U.S. is medical error.- Click to Tweet
Medical errors are an under-recognized cause of death. - Click to Tweet

Analyzing medical death rate data over an eight-year period, Johns Hopkins patient safety experts have calculated that more than 250,000 deaths per year are due to medical error in the U.S. Their figure, published May 3 in The BMJ, surpasses the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC’s) third leading cause of death — respiratory disease, which kills close to 150,000 people per year.
https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/new...rs_now_third_leading_cause_of_death_in_the_us
"

https://theweek.com/speedreads/9061...irus-becomes-third-leading-cause-daily-deaths
COVID-19 vs. Top 15 Causes of Death in the U.S. (Extrapolated Daily Averages)
IMPORTANT: this visualization does not imply that COVID-19 is the third leading cause of mortality in the U.S.

CLICK ON THE VISUALIZATION TO WATCH
03/31/2020
Heart Disease
1774
Cancer
1641
Accidents
466
Chronic Lung Disease
439
Stroke
401
Alzheimer's
333
Diabetes
229
Flu & Pneumonia
153
Kidney Disease
139
Suicide
129
Liver Disease
114
Sepsis
112
High Blood Pressure
97
Parkinson's Disease
88
Lung Obstruction
55
Editors-in-chief Jeremy O'Grady (United Kingdom edition)
William Falk (United States edition)
Categories News magazine
Frequency Weekly
Publisher Adam Dub (United States edition)
Total circulation
(2016) 206,251 (UK)[1]
578,163 (US)[2]
First issue 1995 (UK edition)
April 2001 (US edition)
October 2008 (Australian edition)
Final issue October 2012 (Australian edition)
Company Dennis Publishing (UK edition)
The Week Publications (US edition)
More...

#BestHealthCareInTheWorld

Would be good to compare against other countries
 
shit just got realer:
https://www.npr.org/sections/health...-isnt-saying-about-their-covid-19-projections
5 Key Facts Not Explained In White House COVID-19 Projections

States will keep the social distancing rules in place through June 1

By contrast, Trump's presidential guidelines only apply through April 30. The president has indicated that he may extend that date as the situation warrants.

But at the briefing Tuesday, officials did not specify how long their modeling assumes social distancing measures would remain in place. Chris Murray, IHME's director, says the modeling team is working on a projection for exactly "what sort of rebound we will see," if social distancing was eased after April 30 instead of June 1. But he says there's no question it would be significant.
 
Dazz said:
boring; none can predict death toll or effectively define/debate it. Move on.
More...

It does not care if you are bored or use numbers from God knows where but the projections will get more accurate with more data.

I read an interesting article about why it is generation Xers take this pandemic far more seriously than boomers and millenials, we have reckless people to care for both older and younger. The sandwich generation.. Feels quite true.
 
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