Quote from tradingbug:
I am a little confused here at what is going on. It looks to me that the market has been in an up channel since the beginning of Nov. Could you clarify as it sounds to me that you are saying the short channel is now ending and a long channel will ensue.
One thought is that you are talking intraday channels and not multi day that I was referrring to since the beginning of Nov.
Different people have different views on the markets.
I am just a retail trader who is taking the market's offer.
I, crudely, keep track of things. My computer slows down after a few days of comprehensive annotation so I keep track of limmiting cases on an excel. I remove gaps this way.
Basically, I have been running the short channel since 26 OCT 09. The way I work on fractals is very interconnected.
You can see that on my list of calls for today that I made yesterday.
i do have a clean degapped set of bars from the 26th that was sent to me. So far I have not done a precision look see at it to take care of business.
We have been working our way "out" of a Bull retrace in a bear Economic economy. There are fractal levels between channels and the Bull retrace level.
I do keep three ring binders on all levels and they are glued together kinds of chains of charts.
So, for what I surround my trading fractal with, I am pretty well organized. I do feel knowing what a channel is doing is important. Traverses tell me this. I keep traverses in hand by using tapes. The tapes require the BBT's. For this I use both the YM 2 minute and the ES five minute and the S/S the OTR and the DOM. And I use the Cash Cow as well there are 31 different signal lites on it on the basic level and there are three more prcise shells I use mentally.
this is not to sound defensive it is just a comment on how and where I operate. As you see it is regarded as hand written crap.
Filling in a synposis of the next day's trading is common for me. The little block in the lower left hand corner is devoted to the channel. I have it labelled short for today and long for thursday. I estimated the switch would occur in about 20 minutes.
Calling channel changes within a few minutes over 24 hours ahead is not common among traders. Other may be in long channels already as you suggest.
Mostly we are testing R these days. News is unusal as well because of the integrity of the power structure. Some one said it is not a good time for a noobie to begin to learn. It seems to be the best time simply because anytime is the best time.
I am observing the BBT 3 go to FTT of a short tape 3 and a short traverse 3; this condition puts me in a short channel at the end of the channel. The whole picture is kinda crummy.