Am I a genius or a fool

Quote from pattern nut:

I CAN double my prt in 6 trades, BUT should I


I am confident with my trading, my accuracy is 80%

So why don’t I take greater margin and double my portfolio in 6 trades
More...

You "CAN" double? Really? Your accuracy is 80%! That means the word "can" is not apprpriate. 80% isn't 100%. You also have yet to experience a deveation from the mean. Your next 6 trades may all go bust, and you could be holding your 80% average over the long haul.
Let me give you a gambling analogy. A guy plays blackjack on a 25 dollar table. He's hot as a pistol for 4 hours and has won several thousand dollars. He then moves to a 50 dollar table and wouldn't you know it, cools off and finds himself down within two hours.
It's a simple story of money management. Stick with your current lot size and you'll survive the inevitable drawdown. Double up and become another statistic.
 
Good job. Plan your spending and savings wisely and stay within your comfort range. You are doing fine if you earn your personal number. Hope your success continues. And don't let the negatives that you might encounter here sway your decisions either. Don't invest too much energy trying to prove your abilities or your methods. Your confirmation and support is to be found in your monthly account statements. PM for more details if you'd like. :)
Quote from pattern nut:

I CAN double my prt in 6 trades, BUT should I

Guys, even though I know none of you, and no one here knows me.

We all know each others story, we go through hope and pain and in the end some of us start consistently profiting.

Because we all go through same things really, I trust your opinions.

I am confident with my trading, my accuracy is 80%, I can double portfolio in month and a half, with about 15 trades, (I trade futures by the way)

So why don’t I take greater margin and double my portfolio in 6 trades.

Does that sound really crazy, or am I just being logical here.

my current account is 30 k Why not make it 60 in 6 carefully placed trades

I am sure many of you wandered the same thing:confused:
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I guess I was wrong, most of you actually come here to look for edge, and are not capable of real reply.

I won't waste my time reading what savant says. I am off this web site.

why don't I just go and do what I always did.

use my brain instead of waiting for someone else to deliver

have fun guys and work hard on technicals:cool:
 
Quote from MrsSavant:

I have lived around this for 19 years...lets just say you are a genius...then what? Your handle indicates you are trading patterns. I have seen this type of work before and in longer time frames they are reliable...I tried once to trade patterns and failed miserably in a Journal here.

Doubling and redoubling so fast, does not seem realistic to me, but I suppose anything is possible. If you really can do this then this makes you the greatest trader on earth and soon to be the richest man.

I suggest you keep a low profile and spread out your money to many different brokerages....stop posting here under this handle and change your handle immediately. Lose "now and then" to fool the house if you think you are being watched.

Do not buy cars and houses and bank your money in several banks. Do your own taxes and pay them quarterly. Do not tell family or relatives about your money. Tell the kids there is no money for the will. You will get used to "the lifestyle" and it becomes second nature to you, everybody is on the take. If you start to move often and wear disguises, seek therapy as this is an overkill, but tell the therapist that your money is all an illusion, never tell ANYBODY.

Your sitting on a boiling pot of water and it may not last forever. I sincerely hope for you that your ATM machine lasts and you have time to amass what you think you need.
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ES, Are you using your wife's handle? :D
 
Quote from pattern nut:

I CAN double my prt in 6 trades, BUT should I

Guys, even though I know none of you, and no one here knows me.

We all know each others story, we go through hope and pain and in the end some of us start consistently profiting.

Because we all go through same things really, I trust your opinions.

I am confident with my trading, my accuracy is 80%, I can double portfolio in month and a half, with about 15 trades, (I trade futures by the way)

So why don’t I take greater margin and double my portfolio in 6 trades.

Does that sound really crazy, or am I just being logical here.

my current account is 30 k Why not make it 60 in 6 carefully placed trades

I am sure many of you wandered the same thing:confused:
More...

80 % accuracy over 8 months period with position trading lasting on average 2-3 days. what instrument are you trading ? You can't be trend following. Is that correct? Not that it matters.

I am of the opinion that if you work on a fixed percentage of equity basis with a strategy with positive expectancy that's the way to go. Not to just double up.
Higher stakes= higher stress=more mistakes in trade management.
I guess you have to find out somehow what is the most you are comfortable with and which wouldn't affect your decision making or ruin your account should you have like 6 losing trades in a row. From the figures you give I would guess that should bad luck strike and if you kept your average loss under control the worse you can do is halve your account over 3 weeks. Can you cope with that?
 
I really find it hard to swallow when someone tells me their winning percentage is 70 or 80% but they need advice. This makes no sense. You dont achieve those kinds of win rates over a long time without knowing exactly what to do and how to do it.
 
PN, the market was here before your daddy got a hard-on for your momma, and it will survive your demise. There is TIME. Take it slow. Enjoy it as if it were sex. Trades are like erections, not ova. There is an infinite supply of them.
 
A creative person cannot make it tangible. He is always looking for the challenge.

It's the "getting" and not the "having"

I have lived with it for 19 years and this is all to familiar to me.

He is in Love with "the love"
 
Quote from MrsSavant:

I wonder how many of you will understand my post?
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I did:) and, IMO one of the best advises ever, although it was a doble edged knife but, it sure cuts in both ways........

Cy

p.s.
BTW, 2k to 30 in 8 months?! then just follow what you have been doing..........let's see....hmmmm....that's a 15 fold increase every 8 months?
 
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