Quote from HurricaneUS:
You can't apply normal distributions to something that is dynamic and constantly changing. Not to mention the fact that you just made the colossal mistake of trying to come to a conclusion based on a small sample size. Markets are constantly changing therefore statistics regarding the probability of this or that are totally meaningless.
Again today (I've done this a lot for a year and a half now), I spent time with other Brooks PA traders and in a couple hours in real time at the hard right edge put on six trades consisting of one loss, one break even, three minimum profit targets and one channel breakout for a total of 83 ticks ($830/contract) profit.
The entire price range during this time period (noon through 2:00pm ET) was 81 ticks.
This Brooks stuff has been working for a year and a half through bull runs, bear runs, and chop, through calm markets and volatile markets.
The market did indeed change a lot during that time, but price action has been working like a charm the whole way.
"...the man who says it canât be done is generally interrupted by someone doing it." - Harry Emerson Fosdick