Quote from jack411:
Anek and others,
looks like a failed W at the bottom of that ES chart. Would you have taken that one and been stopped out or not? If not, why? It looks like a trendline break too. Is this one just a failure?
Hi Jack, what you see is also known as a 2B reversal pattern or "Spring" (Vic Sperandeo), you usually go long above the first bar that poked the previous swing low.
Basically the penetration of the previous low failed to hold below, those who played the breakdown of the prev low, had their stop loss right above the first candle that pierced that low.
So when the new low fails , the covering of those caught shorting, propels the up thrust very quickly, quickier than in a regular W formation ( with 2 equal lows)
Since you don't actually wait for the break of the middle swing, as in a W pattern, but you anticipate your entry quite a lot, this results in a good R/R ratio, because your stop is very small.
Thus what you see as a failed W, is actually a perfect 2B, good for at least 4 ES points
Both I and Anek noticed and commented the pattern while it was forming, in the chat today
If you want me to post the chart with the entry, let me know