AHG - Profitable Strategy for Struggling Traders

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Quote from kidPWRtrader:

Going back over the last few weeks i've missed with finals and other things in my life... I thought I would make an addition to this thread.

From going over Toni Hansen's material, my eyes were opened to a very interesting concept she calls as "pace" that I had been watching before but never quantified.

Because I don't want to get in trouble with copyrights, I'm posting a chart showing an example of "pace* and how it can help you spot trend reversal and which direction price will break out of consolidation.

Once you guys start seeing this in real time you will realize how powerful this is.

A very small contribution to a great thread... but as always its in the spirit of sharing and other discoveries.

Thanks for everything guys. Great posts lately by all.

EDIT: I am not sure if the zig zag is a regression line, but in order to see the angles accurately, either try to eyeball it and draw through the middle of the price action (dont worry about connecting highs and lows for this purpose) or use a linear regression line if your charting software has it.

Very interesting Kid. Thanks

Do you experienced traders find this "Pace" thing to be valid some/part/most/any/it depends/etc/etc of the time?
 
Quote from hwkaiser:

Kid, why don't you start a journal with your target. Post your goals, define all of your trading rules and set-ups. Not only will you be able to track your progress, but also track your discipline. With your system clearly defined it will be much easier to determine when you broke your rules or took a marginal trade and the consequences. Wish you luck on your project...

I would but then i'd have to post in more than one place :).

I tried to start a journal for futures and then realized I was posting in here too often and just would have to copy and paste.

Had one for equities and not sure if it made a difference for me although its nice to get everything in writing. Was able to take myself from consistently in the red to break even, to slightly positive - so I guess it did help a little in that time.

As far as the plan from step a to z, I pretty much know every contingency for my futures trading with stops, early exits, profit taking, trailing the stop, r/w, entries, trend qualifiers. It's all in my head, but only reason thats true is because at one time or another i've written it all down and then i've put sticky notes on my monitor and wall telling me what part of my plan I should work on that given day, or if there's anything else about my trading i can improve.

Although I think the disciplined trader is WAY more wordy than it needs to be, some of the good things in it revolves around knowing yourself and setting goals for self improvement. I'm carrying that forward into the coming weeks.

Large post... hopefully not too off tangent.


Vertigo: I have no idea what those scribbles are haha, but I understand what you are saying and yes, I've noticed the same things many many times. Some other things you can watch that I've never looked at before but now i'm realizing happens all the time.

I remember someone mentioned a while ago that there is a high % chance that the 4th touch of a trendline will penetrate that trendline? Well, this is part of some basic wave theory concepts you can integrate into your trading.

For instance, if you are on your third thrust up and the thrust's angle is smaller than before, you might want to take your profits even before the lower low or if your ballsy, take an early short.

Also... if you follow Jack's stuff (which i dont, but i have a friend that does that I sometimes talk to about trading)... on the third wave you could start looking for the channel line (just as you are talking about, but a different way of viewing it)... if we don't reach all the way to the channel before we start reversing, then that's just more confirmation of an impending trend change.

EDIT: woops as I read your comment, this is exactly what you are talking about.

But, I don't wish to detract from the main purpose of the thread, which is pure price action.
 
Quote from fishoilfan:

Thanks HW! I was doing a StealthTrader Search just yesterday trying to find all his posts...AHG and elsewhere
sprinkled between some bickering and spackling, I found some great experienced info. With your notes, I can skip the drama and get to the good stuff...although some of the drama was pretty funny!

Thanks again...
Hope they were of some benefit to you, the notes posted were a rough draft so please read them with "a grain of salt". I have many other notes on Stealth which need to be consolidated, the current version is somewhat incomplete and in serious need of editing... :) I'll try to get them out soon...
 
Quote from kidPWRtrader:

As far as the plan from step a to z, I pretty much know every contingency for my futures trading with stops, early exits, profit taking, trailing the stop, r/w, entries, trend qualifiers. It's all in my head, but only reason thats true is because at one time or another i've written it all down and then i've put sticky notes on my monitor and wall telling me what part of my plan I should work on that given day, or if there's anything else about my trading i can improve.

Exacly the thing we as struggling traders are looking for.
 
Quote from kidPWRtrader:
As far as the plan from step a to z, I pretty much know every contingency for my futures trading with stops, early exits, profit taking, trailing the stop, r/w, entries, trend qualifiers. It's all in my head
Kid, JMHO, but if your intent is enhance discipline, then the very first step is to document your trading plan and rules. A dedicated thread also keeps your goals and progress in focus as opposed to being intertwined in a 1,000+ page thread, soon to be 10,000 :)
The added benefit of posting a comprehensive trading plan is that others more experienced than you may make suggestions to improve upon it, and those less experienced may benefit from it... food for thought...
 
Quote from hwkaiser:

Kid, JMHO, but if your intent is enhance discipline, then the very first step is to document your trading plan and rules. A dedicated thread also keeps your goals and progress in focus as opposed to being intertwined in a 1,000+ page thread, soon to be 10,000 :)
The added benefit of posting a comprehensive trading plan is that others more experienced than you may make suggestions to improve upon it, and those less experienced may benefit from it... food for thought...

Hmm. I guess what the hell, right? It feels kind of weird closing a journal after one post and then opening a new one though haha.

What the hell though... I've got some extra time finally because of winter break.

I'll post all my inner thoughts and my total trading plan there when I start it on Monday. Might as well be sooner than later...

Not sure who is interested in a paper trading journal though... but I do swing trades in equities so maybe that will be cool to post in there as well since it will be *my* journal.

Anyways, thanks for the gentle push.

Carry on, everybody.

rverheyen: If you are struggling with this, I suggest you write down your entire plan somewhere just so you know it. If you don't have anything written down, you can use all the excuses in the world to not be accountable for your trading plan.

If you have a plan, you have accountability and it takes a great burden off your shoulders ----> ie, if you are losing money and following your plan, it's ok because you're doing the best you can do with your experience level.

O and by the way, FISH, your welcome. Since I'm doing shoutouts in my responses now wanted to make sure I didn't leave anyone out :).
 
Quote from kidPWRtrader:

Not sure who is interested in a paper trading journal though... but I do swing trades in equities so maybe that will be cool to post in there as well since it will be *my* journal.

Anyways, thanks for the gentle push.
Plan well, treat it seriously and many will participate... look forward to your journal...
 
Quote from hwkaiser:

Plan well, treat it seriously and many will participate... look forward to your journal...

kid, I'm interested too! I look forward to learning your thoughts and ideas.
 
Quote from edpolton:

I was wondering if Anek, et al, could address the issue of trendlines with volume charts. I apologise if this has already been discussed.

Whereas S&R is basically the same wether you use time or volume/tick charts, trendlines can change dramatically.

Since the main reason S&R and Trendlines work is because many other traders are also reacting to them, and since far fewer traders are trading on volume charts, has anyone given consideration to monitoring time based trendlines while trading volume charts?

Thanks in advance.

Thanks for your responce Cire.

I just wanted bump this question up in case anyone else had thoughts.
 
Will be missing in action for a few days, predicting massive hang overs during the upcoming days as the Bachelor Party of a good friend continues.

See ya all when I get back from the dead.

Anek
 
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