...just wanted to offer a few thoughts on this idea of pure charts, ect. Please keep in mind, it is not my intent to provoke or offend anyone here...
Last week we talked about the frustration of trying to trade a trend following system during trendless chop. I pointed out that discerning chop in real time is often a pretty tough nut to crack. Today we are seeing a lot of talk about the frustration of using an intra-day trend following system on a nice strong trend day and not profiting from the trend.
It is my thought here that it can help the learning process for those new to the study of price action to have visual que's on the chart as a point of reference as price structure develops during the trading session. For example, the little HH, LL notations on the chart that Anek first introduced back at the beginning of the Journal. Nice simple, objective and consistent notations that any skill level of trader with a little discipline of method can follow along with in real-time. Anek's new technique of these dynamic 50% retracement lines provide a similar consistent visual reminder of the trend direction, or lack thereof.
For example, looking at Anek's NQ chart from this morning as price was riding the red line down, the bright red bars pushing that red line lower, and where the shallow bounces were not able to get above the first line of resistance, above the 25% level, it was reasonably safe to conclude in real-time the overall flow of trading this morning was moving in one direction. The first meaningful pause in the trend, the bear flag that formed during lunch, tried 3 times and was also unable to break through Anek's first line of resistance. Honestly, this is really typical price action on a trend day.
Another suggestion for those starting out is to be consistent in your approach. If these visual que's of price action help the learning process, then you should pick one and use it. The goal here is to be saying "well yeah thats a down trend", but you eventually want to get to the right edge of the screen, so your saying it while its happening, not at the end of the day looking back. Trading is largely a process of gaining experience with the typical price action we see most day's. Using a consistent approach or perspective (these visual que's) helps, because you start recognizing the same things setup day after day.
Anek has quietly mentioned this point, but I sense it's not being recognized with the importance it deserves so I want to emphasize it here once again... If you don't understand clearly what is happening, the best thing to do is stay out until things become very clear. For those getting started with AHG, begin by looking for the really obvious trades, the no brainer's (which this morning was). This takes patience, to sit quietly and wait, but patience is an essential skill in trading.
Anyways, in reading the comments and studying the charts being posted, I can't help but wonder if some folks are struggling with selling fresh lows.... selling the close of that first bright red bar as price breaks for the red line ? I honestly suspect this may be one source of some of today's frustrations. Unfortunately, visual que's on the chart will probably not resolve this issue.