Ag trade ideas

[Gambit]

Here is the kind of nasty spikes you are looking to avoid in increased volatility. With the size you need to put on these strategies, it can be hell to leg out as well.

Based on your posts, I am wondering if some sort of trend following system in the front month would have mitigate some of the losses in longer term spread trades?

You mentioned gas oil flies amongst other spreads decoupling. Just a thought.

 

[ogarbitrage]

I found Agritalk the other day. Quality content.

 

[TraDaToR]

Based on your posts, I am wondering if some sort of trend following system in the front month would have mitigate some of the losses in longer term spread trades?

You mentioned gas oil flies amongst other spreads decoupling. Just a thought.

Indeed. That's a fair point. I need to explore this. I also have scalping to mitigate long term losses in volatile times. Scalping became really easy on wheat for example.

 

[Gambit]

Indeed. That's a fair point. I need to explore this. I also have scalping to mitigate long term losses in volatile times. Scalping became really easy on wheat for example.

Are you manual? Automated with TT? Scalping is a great skill set to have. Hard to develop…

 

[TraDaToR]

Manual. You just have to choose a market and watch the relevant tools for this market for a few months : Point and figure charts, Order book, T&S, volume...

 

[Gambit]

Manual. You just have to choose a market and watch the relevant tools for this market for a few months : Point and figure charts, Order book, T&S, volume...

Got it. Kind of like catching tops and bottoms or market maker style with orders on both sides of the market?

 

[TraDaToR]

A little bit of the two. Depends on the product. Some products you remove sizes. Other you add...

 

[They]

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2022...-water-ocean-rather-letting-farmers-grow-rice

 

[vanzandt]

You'll never hear this anywhere else...
But when birds build their nests predominantly in the Northeast quadrant of trees,,, we're in for a very hot summer.
How that will play out for you guys is beyond me with grains already thru the roof with Ukraine and all, but I just thought I'd point that out for all you Wall Street boys.
Plan accordingly.

 

[vanzandt]

You'll never hear this anywhere else...
But when birds build their nests predominantly in the Northeast quadrant of trees,,, we're in for a very hot summer.
How that will play out for you guys is beyond me with grains already thru the roof with Ukraine and all, but I just thought I'd point that out for all you Wall Street boys.
Plan accordingly.

You can't see the nests really, but you can certainly watch the trees and see which part they are flying in and out of in the mornings. Lots of NE nests this year.