Ag trade ideas

Short 2 S NOV15/Long 5 DEC15 at 2.573 ratio
Short 2 S NOV15 at 9.43

Soybean is both the most expensive commodity and the largest stock on use ratio..
Soybean market is in backwardation which often happens on a very tight market.
Then or the soybean market is wrong or the USDA is wrong.
How USDA stocks estimates could be bad ?
 
Rachmaninov said:
I was in the same trade and I faill too.
Any idea when IB will force close a long position on a nearby expiry ? First notice day ?
More...

Even 2 days before I think... Check out on the website there is a table of deadlines per product somewhere...
 
Rachmaninov said:
Short 2 S NOV15/Long 5 DEC15 at 2.573 ratio
Short 2 S NOV15 at 9.43

Soybean is both the most expensive commodity and the largest stock on use ratio..
Soybean market is in backwardation which often happens on a very tight market.
Then or the soybean market is wrong or the USDA is wrong.
How USDA stocks estimates could be bad ?
More...

You meant 5 ZC Dec15 right? Will perhaps join you soon, perhaps after grain acreage...
 
Short MWH16 / Long WH16 @ 56.25. SRW crop condition trouble + seasonal tendency. I hope HRS will get moisture though for this spread to perform.
 
Damn... I almost bought White sugar front spread last week with the double bottom and the rumor of a new giant delivery...I thought I was falling in anew sugar trap...F*** me.
 
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