Ag trade ideas

GiantHogweed · Nov 21, 2014

thefuturestrader said:
Got short the ZSF:H15 soy meal spread at around 16.7 yesterday, caught an initial move down but it appears to be catching some support, even though soy meal made a strong move down today.

Looking good now, I believe the SM squeeze is over for now....

thefuturestrader · Nov 21, 2014

Got out of that ZSF:H15 spread at 12.6, caught about a $4 move. Option expiration today in the grains, should be interesting to see what happens.

TraDaToR · Nov 26, 2014

Long Mar LIFFE White Sugar/ Short Mar NYBOT Sugar @ 2583 ratio( 413.8/0.1602 ) based on correlation. My first interproduct spread. We will see what happens...

TraDaToR · Dec 3, 2014

TraDaToR said:
Didn't really have to wait much. In @ 2.150.

Out @ 0. Thanks GHW. You can probably make more on the downside with the chart pattern and seasonals ,but it was my initial target...

TraDaToR · Dec 3, 2014

Short Feb/ Long Aug15 Hogs@ -3.6. Strong seasonals to Mid January. Retracement on a trend already in place. No Pedv threat in sight. Market much calmer now.

GiantHogweed · Dec 3, 2014

TraDaToR said:
Out @ 0. Thanks GHW. You can probably make more on the downside with the chart pattern and seasonals ,but it was my initial target...

YW! I took profits on 1/2 of my position last week @ -0.5. It looks like it may breakout of the triangle to the upside so at this point my PT for the remainder is around the +1.5 resistance.

GiantHogweed · Dec 3, 2014

TraDaToR said:
Short Feb/ Long Aug15 Hogs@ -3.6. Strong seasonals to Mid January. Retracement on a trend already in place. No Pedv threat in sight. Market much calmer now.

I like the hog bear spreads as well. I am in the M/G spread now @ decent size with a very similar looking chart to the Q/G. One thing I like about these is that they have reached the 15-20 range quite a bit in the past.

TraDaToR · Dec 4, 2014

Long Feb/ Short Mar15 Class 3 Milk @ -0.06. Small carry while the front of the curve is in steep backwardation. Visual trade.

thefuturestrader · Dec 4, 2014

Anyone looking at this head and shoulders pattern on Soybeans? It is textbook, upward sloping neckline, broke through the neckline yesterday, rallied back up to it today. I give little salt to patterns, but I know everyone is looking at it.

TraDaToR · Dec 4, 2014

TraDaToR said:
Long Feb/ Short Mar15 Class 3 Milk @ -0.06. Small carry while the front of the curve is in steep backwardation. Visual trade.

This entry was really poor. The forward curve was so appealing I didn't even look at the chart. I guess the bottom is in now but I should have taken a few more ticks near last week's bottom.