Thank you all for your replies.
Given the parameters I have laid out, consensus is that it's probably not going to happen. I appreciate your honesty.
A few thoughts/comments:
- Jim Simons chooses to manage "billions" of $$$; achieving super-high returns on this level of assets consistently is probably impossible; I don't want to manage billions; just 1 million
- for out of the way, illiquid markets - e.g. Korea; I like the idea, but would entail "a lot" of trading since big trades would have an impact on those stocks
- futures on indices; yeah, I was thinking a big liquid market might be able to support this level of trading without raising too much attention; was also thinking about forex
- to the person doing the "math"; thanks; yes, I agree; see below for more
What about the following:
- let's say I am going to win on half the trades; and lose on half the trades
- let's say when I win, I win 50% more than what I lose when I lose
- to make 5% ($50k), I would need to "win" $150k/month, and lose $100k/month
- if I am looking at 50 trades/month, this means my winners on average would need to be $3k of profit
- so what kind of trades should I put down?
- could do $100k, with a stop at $98k, and a sell at $103k; looking for 3% up here
- could do $200k, with a stop at $198k, and a sell at 203k; looking for 1.5% up here
I guess when I look at the math, and read about all the people making 10 or 20%/month on their $25k, it seems that making 5% is not so far-fetched. Or is the reality that no one is making 10% month day-trading, any amount...
Thanks again.