Adventures in Trading with a Killer

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Short CL @ 65.54.

Today, I placed my limit order to short CL at 65.54, since it was the 61.8% retracement of the fall from 65.96 to 64.86. The worse that it went against my position was 65.55; that is, I had at worse a floating loss of $10 per contract. See my first graph. I contend that we are in an intermediate wave c going down. A possible target for intermediate wave c is 61.57, assuming that intermediate wave c = intermediate wave a. See my second graph. Note that intermediate wave b was slightly more than the 38.2% retracement of the fall from 72.90 to 65.80. See my third graph. This underscored how strongly bearish CL has become.

CL 6-6-2018 Minuette Wave 1 and 2.png
CL 6-6-2018 Intermediate Wave C Potential Targets.png
CL 6-6-2018 Intermediate Wave B.png
 
Short CL @ 65.54.

Today, I placed my limit order to short CL at 65.54, since it was the 61.8% retracement of the fall from 65.96 to 64.86. The worse that it went against my position was 65.55; that is, I had at worse a floating loss of $10 per contract. See my first graph. I contend that we are in an intermediate wave c going down. A possible target for intermediate wave c is 61.57, assuming that intermediate wave c = intermediate wave a. See my second graph. Note that intermediate wave b was slightly more than the 38.2% retracement of the fall from 72.90 to 65.80. See my third graph. This underscored how strongly bearish CL has become.

View attachment 186982 View attachment 186983 View attachment 186984

failure at the 38% is always a good sign for further weakness. As your lower chart shows. If you look at the long wick just below B, that was both a stop chaser and an indication for lower prices. It had a reversal close or at leased a weak close. But Volume has to spike at that point and I believe it had. Spikes are Turning points as long as weakness shows up in Bar close. after all we are playing with probabilities.
 
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