The pew research poll that everyone is citing showing Romney +4 had repubs sampled at 38% of likely voters. That is over sampling in my opinion. But it is telling that amongst registered voters in the same poll, the dems were at 33% while GOP was at 32%. It says something about the enthusiasm gap when the gap widens that much for likely voters.
Accurate University Study Predicts Romney Win
- Thread starter pspr
- Start date
Drill a bit deeper in that poll. You posted the breakdown of registered voters, but that was not the poll showing Romney +4. The registered voter poll has them tied. The romney lead being cited was LIKELY VOTERS. I mispoke on the 38, i meant 36. The breakdown for likely voters was;
Gop. 36
Dem 31
Ind 30
A comparison between the registered voter and likely voter polls is located on page 15.
Don't be foolish pspr.
"the political scientists predict Romney will win 52.9 percent of the popular vote to Obamaâs 47.1 percent, when considering only the two major political parties"
Did you happen to notice the part of that sentence that comes after the comma. Independents now comprise the largest voting block.
"the political scientists predict Romney will win 52.9 percent of the popular vote to Obamaâs 47.1 percent, when considering only the two major political parties"
Did you happen to notice the part of that sentence that comes after the comma. Independents now comprise the largest voting block.
That makes a lot of sense to me. I understand why you would hate it.
Fresh air. At the base of the Rockies. Lots of healthy educated folks who can make change without having to look at the cash register. Naturally, you're going to hate there. You'd find the Mississippi Delta far more to your liking.
Lol!
My Family lives in northern CO. I'm there often.
ANYTIME we are in Boulder, the liberals are running around town with the fuck you, out of my way attitude, I don't enjoy walking the sidewalks with my teen Son as jobless hippies blow pot smoke everywhere, and last, no one knows how to drive there.
The scenery, yes, very pretty! The girls there are VERY liberal, and wear some "nice" outfits, and the flat iron mountains are pretty. Other than that, I didn't lose a thing in Boulder. I love Colorado though. Just hate Boulder.
The web report is only 2 pages. I did find a pdf report on the poll in the margins at
http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-pdf/10-8-12 Political Release.pdf
On page 15 of that report (and that is the poll showing Romney up by 4% with likely voters, even with registerd voters on October 8th.) the data only refers to White voters.
On page 12 it refers to the demographics for the entire poll and again provides the data I showed previously with the dems and repubs in about even numbers. Also, on page 10 it also shows independents went for Romney by 4%.
I think the polls of likely voters and independent voters are the more reliable indicators.
Again, if you are looking at something else, provide a link. I can't search the web trying to find the page you are talking about.