Accurate University Study Predicts Romney Win

[ChkitOut]

Quote from tomdavis:

When I went to UC Berkeley back in the 1980s, Asians were about 10% of California's population and almost 50% of the Berkeley students. In my science and math classes it wasn't unusual for 70% of the class to be Asian.

interesting.

 

[RCG Trader]

This person has been more accurate for a longer period of time.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/


But you know that.

 

[tradingjournals]

Quote from pspr:

A University of Colorado analysis of state-by-state factors leading to the Electoral College selection of every U.S. president since 1980 forecasts that the 2012 winner will be Mitt Romney.

Adjusting the findings to take account of possible zionism propaganda/influence/bias/etc, the President Obama wins with a landslide.

 

[tomdavis]

Quote from RCG Trader:

This person has been more accurate for a longer period of time.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/


But you know that.

How can you be "more accurate" than 100% accurate?

 

[Lucrum]

Quote from ChkitOut:

with my grades i'd need to be black to have any shot at harvard.

http://www.oap.harvard.edu/affirmative-action/

It's my understanding being a pot head doesn't hurt either.

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Did these guys actually pick every presidential winner beforehand since 1980 or did they curve fit a system to fit a Romney win

 

[pspr]

Quote from RCG Trader:

This person has been more accurate for a longer period of time.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/


But you know that.

You're an idiot. The guy just started that site in 2008 and primarily polls democrap primaries. He also posted for the Daily Kos in addition to the NYT.

Don't through your bullshit out as legitimate, fool.

In November 2007, while still working for Baseball Prospectus, Silver began to write about politics, specifically the 2008 U.S. Presidential race. Until the end of May 2008, this writing was under the pseudonym "Poblano" and appeared on Daily Kos or on his blog FiveThirtyEight.com, which he launched in March 2008.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

 

[pspr]

Quote from Lucrum:

It's my understanding being a pot head doesn't hurt either.

Or being a foreign black student.

 

[tomdavis]

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Did these guys actually pick every presidential winner beforehand since 1980 or did they curve fit a system to fit a Romney win

Good question...

It's probably a statistical model, but I doubt that it's curve-fit to a Romney win. The model is being published in a peer-reviewed journal. The first thing they'd look at is whether or not the model capitalizes on sampling error or is fit to the data to produce any particular outcome. Every journal has a couple of gearheads on the review committee whose job it is to obliterate researchers' mathematical/statistical models. If the model cheats the data, the publication will kill the article before it appears in print and they're made to look like jerks in front of the whole world. (At least, that's how it's supposed to work.)

That said, the authors are college professors as are the people who review the journals. I've known many personally and a large percentage of them are complete idiots.

The only way we'll know for sure is to read the article for ourselves when it comes out later this month.

 

[pspr]

The University of Colorado is pretty liberal. I've spent a lot of time in Boulder - Beautiful town but can't stand the people there. It's not quite Berkley but close.