You're right but the pieces that constitute the cycle you described don't follow each other in a clear cut sequence. They tend to overlap significantly because of the nature of expectations. Stocks will increase with interest rates for as long as rates have not reached a point that is believed to be unbearable by the economy.Quote from thorn:
From the way I learned it, and I may have learned it wrong... economic growth leads to higher interest rates, leading to lower profits, leading to a declining stock market. That's a complete 'cycle'.
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The major indices ie S&P index has crossed it's moving average. This is another sign of a strong topping pattern.
