A Fool-proof Google-based Sentiment Indicator? Wtf

Quote from tomtuttletacoma:

found this on one of my many deep sea internet trawls, i don't even know what to say. this in an indicator to remember for future market crashes!

it uses google to predict market tops and bottoms

http://tinyurl.com/9jghw3
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The connection between online browsing, shopping and the market is well known.

I first read about it in 2002. Seems it lead the market by about 3 weeks.

A friend had a marble importing business. He said like clockwork when the hits on his website when up a lot about 3 weeks later the market would go up.

I assumed someone was using this for timing purposes.
 
Quote from jficquette:

The connection between online browsing, shopping and the market is well known.

I first read about it in 2002. Seems it lead the market by about 3 weeks.

A friend had a marble importing business. He said like clockwork when the hits on his website when up a lot about 3 weeks later the market would go up.

I assumed someone was using this for timing purposes.
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so he was importing or exporting marble? this google trends seems like an interesting data source but with tricky causality.

some relationships are one way. others two way. seems like u need to do more stats analysis to prove on or the other.

i'm gonna keep "treasury bubble" in my bookmarks.
 
viz


Market bottom - Highest point was in October 9, shouldn't have to explain that one.
 
seems like this would have also been useful for other bubbles. i searched for ethanol, this is the chart for 2006's search volume above a chart for imperial sugar (IPSU)
 

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