I am still new in trading system design and need your comment to gain confidence for my trading system.
The test (with real-time tick-by-tick data) for the past 2-week period has the similar result as the previous tests. No "optimization" of any kind. Am I lucky or doing something right?
Thank you all
JS
================== SUMMARY ===============
Number of Trades: 157 ( 78 round trips )
Ticker: QQQ
Winning Trades: 55 Largest: 262 ( 0.86% )
Average: 98.09 ( 0.32% )
Losing Trades: 22 Largest: -370 ( -1.2% )
Average: -75.56 ( -0.25% )
Profit: 3732.3 ( 12.28% )
**********************************************
Index, Date, Time, Action, Symbol, Shares, Price,
1, 20030611, 15:10, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.404,
2, 20030611, 15:20, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.538,
3, 20030611, 15:30, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.44,
4, 20030611, 15:40, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.584,
5, 20030611, 15:40, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.442,
6, 20030611, 15:40, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.574,
7, 20030611, 15:50, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.47,
8, 20030612, 09:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.644,
9, 20030612, 09:50, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.545,
10, 20030612, 10:10, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.51,
11, 20030612, 10:10, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.335,
12, 20030612, 10:20, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.484,
13, 20030612, 10:20, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.314,
14, 20030612, 10:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.576,
15, 20030612, 11:20, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.525,
16, 20030612, 12:50, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.56,
17, 20030612, 13:10, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.44,
18, 20030612, 13:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.545,
19, 20030612, 13:30, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.44,
20, 20030612, 14:20, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.43,
21, 20030612, 14:40, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.414,
22, 20030612, 14:40, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.31,
23, 20030612, 14:40, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.408,
24, 20030612, 15:20, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.526,
25, 20030612, 15:20, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.52,
26, 20030612, 15:20, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.53,
27, 20030613, 09:40, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.54,
28, 20030613, 09:40, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.508,
29, 20030613, 12:20, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.06,
30, 20030613, 13:20, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 29.97,
31, 20030613, 14:10, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 29.98,
32, 20030613, 14:10, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 29.9,
33, 20030613, 14:20, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 29.98,
34, 20030613, 15:00, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 29.88,
35, 20030613, 15:10, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 29.965,
36, 20030613, 15:10, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 29.87,
37, 20030613, 15:10, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 29.961,
38, 20030613, 15:40, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 29.985,
39, 20030613, 15:50, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 29.98,
40, 20030616, 09:40, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.02,
41, 20030616, 09:50, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.09,
42, 20030616, 10:20, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.258,
43, 20030616, 10:20, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.246,
44, 20030616, 10:30, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.23,
45, 20030616, 12:40, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.57,
46, 20030616, 13:40, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.67,
47, 20030616, 15:00, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.702,
48, 20030616, 15:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.73,
49, 20030616, 15:30, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.678,
50, 20030616, 15:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.758,
51, 20030617, 09:40, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.768,
52, 20030617, 09:50, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.794,
53, 20030617, 09:50, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.677,
54, 20030617, 10:00, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.845,
55, 20030617, 10:20, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.702,
56, 20030617, 11:00, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.72,
57, 20030617, 12:10, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.72,
58, 20030617, 12:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.85,
59, 20030617, 13:20, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.81,
60, 20030617, 13:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.798,
61, 20030617, 14:20, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.82,
62, 20030617, 14:30, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.73,
63, 20030617, 14:40, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.828,
64, 20030617, 14:40, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.776,
65, 20030617, 14:40, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.848,
66, 20030617, 15:30, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.857,
67, 20030618, 10:00, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.7228,
68, 20030618, 10:00, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.5934,
69, 20030618, 10:10, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.71,
70, 20030618, 11:00, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 31.08,
71, 20030618, 11:00, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 31.066,
72, 20030618, 11:20, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 31.098,
73, 20030618, 11:20, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 31.068,
74, 20030618, 11:20, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 31.09,
75, 20030618, 12:20, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 31.0434,
76, 20030618, 14:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 31,
77, 20030618, 15:20, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.97,
78, 20030619, 09:30, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.96,
79, 20030619, 09:30, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 31.02,
80, 20030619, 10:00, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 31.01,
81, 20030619, 10:00, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 31.171,
82, 20030619, 10:20, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 31.05,
83, 20030619, 11:50, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.85,
84, 20030619, 12:00, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.692,
85, 20030619, 12:20, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.812,
86, 20030619, 14:00, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.8,
87, 20030619, 14:20, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.889,
88, 20030619, 14:20, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.793,
89, 20030619, 14:20, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.88,
90, 20030619, 14:30, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.84,
91, 20030620, 09:30, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.716,
92, 20030620, 09:40, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.496,
93, 20030620, 10:30, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.469,
94, 20030620, 12:20, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.531,
95, 20030620, 12:30, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.656,
96, 20030620, 12:50, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.57,
97, 20030620, 14:00, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.444,
98, 20030620, 14:00, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.32,
99, 20030620, 14:20, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.484,
100, 20030620, 15:00, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.372,
101, 20030620, 15:30, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.395,
102, 20030620, 15:30, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.3,
103, 20030620, 15:30, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.39,
104, 20030623, 09:30, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 30.33,
105, 20030623, 12:40, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 29.78,
106, 20030623, 14:20, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 29.66,
107, 20030623, 15:10, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 29.672,
108, 20030623, 15:10, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 29.594,
109, 20030623, 15:20, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 29.67,
110, 20030623, 15:40, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 29.84,
111, 20030623, 15:40, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 29.83,
112, 20030623, 15:50, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 29.71,
113, 20030624, 09:30, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.711,
114, 20030624, 09:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.837,
115, 20030624, 10:10, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.84,
116, 20030624, 11:50, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.656,
117, 20030624, 13:20, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.751,
118, 20030624, 13:20, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.85,
119, 20030624, 14:20, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.852,
120, 20030624, 15:00, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.787,
121, 20030624, 15:00, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.68,
122, 20030624, 15:10, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.839,
123, 20030624, 15:30, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.73,
124, 20030625, 09:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.8198,
125, 20030625, 09:30, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.6788,
126, 20030625, 09:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.7644,
127, 20030625, 11:40, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.03,
128, 20030625, 14:10, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.072,
129, 20030625, 14:10, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.052,
130, 20030625, 14:40, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.0779,
131, 20030625, 15:00, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.842,
132, 20030625, 15:00, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.75,
133, 20030625, 15:00, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.773,
134, 20030625, 15:10, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 29.74,
135, 20030626, 09:30, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 29.744,
136, 20030626, 10:10, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 29.808,
137, 20030626, 10:50, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 29.924,
138, 20030626, 11:30, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 29.918,
139, 20030626, 12:50, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.053,
140, 20030626, 14:00, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.162,
141, 20030626, 14:00, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.08,
142, 20030626, 14:10, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.19,
143, 20030626, 14:50, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.152,
144, 20030626, 15:40, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.152,
145, 20030626, 15:40, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.119,
146, 20030626, 15:40, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.188,
147, 20030626, 15:50, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.152,
148, 20030627, 09:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.295,
149, 20030627, 09:50, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.196,
150, 20030627, 10:20, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.418,
151, 20030627, 11:30, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.42,
152, 20030627, 12:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.43,
153, 20030627, 12:40, BUYLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.327,
154, 20030627, 13:30, SELLLONG, QQQ, 1000, 30.26,
155, 20030627, 14:30, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 30.074,
156, 20030627, 15:00, BUYCOVER, QQQ, 1000, 29.879,
157, 20030627, 15:30, SELLSHORT, QQQ, 1000, 29.99,