A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Quote from puddles:

adding half size, whole trade becomes..

11:33

SHORT WMT 53.64
STOP 53.71
TGT 52.5
More...

bah, just ticked out

out +0.05 on front 2/3, out -0.07 on back 1/3. little green after commish, counting as a b/e trade.
 
<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/mos.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/ibm.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/wmt.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/akam.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/mck.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/fslr.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/fcx.png">

9:57

(2min play)
LONG MOS 67.21
STOP 66.99
TGT 67.65

- MOS didn't sell off as hard as SPY after the open
- Look to get long as SPY hits it's highs
- out +0.43

10:11

SHORT IBM 141.73
STOP 141.93
TGT 141.33

- Weak from the open
- Ranging at the lows while SPY is making highs
- out -0.23


10:25

SHORT WMT 53.76
STOP 53.87
TGT 53.54

- Clean weakness from the open
- see next trade

11:33

adding half
SHORT WMT 53.64
STOP 53.71
TGT 52.5

- WMT seems to slowly leg down, add on half, move all stops/tgts
- out +0.05 on front 2/3, out -0.07 on back 1/3

10:53

LONG AKAM 48.64
STOP 48.47


- Clean strength from the open
- I passed on this earlier as I wasn't sure it would get through yesterdays high
- Chased it
- out -0.18

14:42

LONG MCK 64.86
STOP 64.77
TGT 65.04

- From noon on MCK very strong making new highs
- SPY drifting lower since noon
- out -0.09

14:54

SHORT FSLR 123.89
STOP 124.08
TGT 123.51

- Playing the break of 124.00 support
- Cheated on the stop (top of entry bar)
- out -0.25 (10 minutes early it seems)

15:43

SHORT FCX 96.75
STOP 96.9

- Entire market sells off, SPY puts in a huge bounce off the lows
- FCX no bounce
- out -0.25

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/11/17/2010-11-17-trades/
 
chasing entries.. not good.

10:02

SHORT HGSI 24.09
STOP 24.23
TGT 23.81

out -0.15

10:16

LONG WYNN 110.27
STOP 109.99
TGT 110.83

out -0.29

10:28

LONG AKAM 49.14
STOP 48.99
TGT 49.44

out -0.18
 
<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101118/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101118/hgsi.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101118/wynn.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101118/akam.png">

10:02

(2min play)
SHORT HGSI 24.09
STOP 24.23
TGT 23.81

- One of the few stocks to gap down
- Probably shouldnt' be shorting in a market so strong
- out -0.15

10:16

LONG WYNN 110.27
STOP 109.99
TGT 110.83

- Tryign to chase the SPY breakout
- out -0.29

10:28

LONG AKAM 49.14
STOP 48.99
TGT 49.44

- SPY pull back after 3 big bars after 10am
- AKAM keeps moving, look for continuation
- out -0.18

Bought 2 tops today, impressive...

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/11/18/2010-11-18-trades/
 
<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/bp.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/v.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/gs.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/hum.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/wlp.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/ntap.png">

9:50

(2min play)
SHORT BP 41.44
STOP 41.51
TGT 41.3

- Gap down and weak with market
- tight lower high
- got 2c from tgt..
- out b/e

10:12

(2min play)
LONG V 77.41
STOP 77.33
TGT 55.57

- V strong from the open in a very weak market..
- Look to get long as SPY appears to be bouncing off the lows at 10am
- 1c from tgt, was on the phone so i forgot to move the stop
- Also shouldn't have been using 2min charts past 10am (again, cuz of phone call)
- Counting as a b/e in my stats, just poor execution
- out -0.11

11:11

SHORT GS 165.79
STOP 166.04
TGT 164.29

- From 10-11am SPY almost retraced it's entire selloff
- GS held in a range at it's lows
- Look to short the break of the range (as well as expecting SPY's retracement to fail)
- out -0.3

13:22

SHORT HUM 55.95
STOP 56.06
TGT 55.75

- SPY slow drift up from 11am-1pm
- HUM flat and rangy during the time
- SPY shows some weakness from 1pm
- HUM breaks range to the lows, look for continuation with SPY
- out +0.2

15:22

LONG WLP 58.00
STOP 57.93
TGT 58.15

- WLP the inverse of HUM, great strength through the day including a big push up at 2pm
- Look for continuation over the tight bar over round #
- got 1c from tgt
- out b/e

15:29

SHORT NTAP 51.34
STOP 51.54
TGT 50.94

- Great daily chart looking like it was headed for another down session after a pause yesterday
- Weak all day running inverse to SPY
- I was aware of the prior days low (.48) but it had held under it for 2 bars.
- Short the lower high
- out -0.2

1-2-3 day, brokers best friend.. 6-13-4 week, 24-42 month.

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/11/20/2010-11-19-trades/
 
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