A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100928/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100928/nem.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100928/rrc.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100928/mon.png">

10:40

LONG NEM 63.31
STOP 63.09
TGT 63.75

- Gold sector break out, look for continuation
- out +0.15 (took it early to leave, went to tgt)

14:08

LONG RRC 36.99
STOP 36.85
TGT 37.27

- 30 minutes of strength, look for continuation
- should have moved stop to b/e after this got 3c from tgt
- out -0.15

14:37

SHORT MON 47.99
STOP 48.15
TGT 47.67

- theme of the last two days, short MON..
- out +0.32

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/09/28/2010-09-28-trades/
 
<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100929/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100929/rimm2.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100929/amgn.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100929/mon.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100929/teva.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100929/rimm5.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100929/x.png">

(2min play)
9:38 LONG RIMM 47.77
STOP 47.66
TGT 47.99

- SPY gap down, RIMM gap up and lots of strength
- long over a bar
- out b/e

9:49

(2min play)
LONG RIMM 47.83 (got .82 fill)
STOP 47.74
TGT 47.99

- see above
- out -0.08

9:56

SHORT AMGN 54.99
STOP 55.11
TGT 54.75

- SPY gapped down but tried to close the gap within the first 15 minutes
- AMGN stayed weak
- short under a bar and break of the round #
- Moved stop when it got within 5c
- out b/e

10:32

LONG MON 48.87
STOP 48.64
TGT 49.35

- MON not a fully extended play but after the massive 2 day selloff I figured it'd be ok for a long
- good relative strength vs SPY
- SPY had put in a huge selloff bar which didn't move MON as bad and it stayed green
- out -0.24

10:36

SHORT TEVA 52.71
STOP 52.80
TGT 52.53

- TEVA weak from the open
- it put in a big green bar which is usually a red flag to avoid a short but it put in an equally big red bar later to wipe it out.
- out -0.1

10:37

SHORT AMGN 54.49
STOP 54.66
TGT 54.15

- for the first hour SPY was between a pretty wide range
- AMGN just weak
- took it early at .25, don't ask..
- out +0.24

11:21

LONG RIMM 48.01
STOP 47.92
TGT 48.19

- Gap up and showing nice strength on the day
- long the break of the round #
- out +0.18

14:09

LONG X 44.62
STOP 44.52
TGT 44.82

- X strong from mid morning
- out -0.1

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/09/29/2010-09-29-trades/
 
<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100930/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100930/aig.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100930/cf.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100930/sndk.png">

9:46

(2min play)
LONG AIG 40.01
STOP 39.75

- Good AIG news, long the break of 40.00 hoping a bunch of stops get fired off
- nope!
- out -0.3

9:50

(2min play)
SHORT CF 97.9
STOP 98.05
TGT 97.6

- SPY gap up and go
- CF gap up but super weak
- short the break of 98.00, picked an arbitrary stop
- out +0.24 (big slip in)

10:00

(2min play)
SHORT CF 96.96
STOP 97.2

- CF tanks, spy weaking, look for another handle down
- out -0.28

10:10

SHORT SNDK 36.83
STOP 37.01

- SNDK looking very weak on the 5 minute, already 2 legs down
- big red bar, pause, continuation
- look for it one more time
- out -0.18

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/09/30/2010-09-30-trades/
 
Quote from puddles:

10:20

LONG IBM 136.09
STOP 135.95
TGT 136.37

of course SPY decides to put in a nice red bar when this triggers
More...

out -0.15, was 9c from tgt, stupid SPY
 
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