A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100827/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100827/rimm.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100827/gs.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100827/x.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100827/bp.png">

9:40

(2 min play)
SHORT RIMM 46.12
STOP 46.32
TGT 46.72

- RIMM is the new MON, look to short it every day
- Slight gap up, goes red quickly
- Rel weaker than SPY
- punched it out +0.22 before the 9:55 news


11:25

SHORT GS 139.55
STOP 139.75
TGT 139.15

- SPY heading higher from 11am
- GS holding a tight range near the lows
- Short the break
- out +0.15 on a fat finger setting my stop, went straight to tgt. counting as winner

14:28

LONG X 43.66
STOP 43.55
TGT 43.88

- X a beast all day
- out +0.22

15:17

SHORT BP 35.47
STOP 35.52
TGT 35.37

- Tailed geezy on this one
- BIG red bar down
- Tight consolidation, look for continuation under a lower high
- out -0.08 vicious slippage

13-15 on the week. 48-49 on the month.

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/27/2010-08-27-trades/
 
<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/rimm2.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/hpq.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/wynn.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/rimm5.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/cost.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/nflx.png">


9:38

(2 min play)
SHORT RIMM 45.79
STOP 46.01
TGT 45.35

- SPY gaps down and tries to close the gap
- RIMM stays weak
- out -0.23

9:39

LONG HPQ 39.11
STOP 39.03
TGT 39.3

- Gap up on good news, tight higher low
- out +0.18

10:28

SHORT WYNN 82.99
STOP 83.28
TGT 82.41

- SPY weak and making new lows..
- WYNN toos.. That green bar prior to entry should have been a red flag
- out -0.32

10:50

LONG RIMM 46.73
STOP 46.61
TGT 36.97

- RIMM making new highs
- SPY trying to bounce off the bottom
- got 3c from tgt
- out b/e

11:01

LONG COST 56.75
STOP 56.69
TGT 56.87

- Same story as RIMM but strong all day
- Tight higher low, probably wasn't a good idea given the low volume to have a stop this tight
- out -0.08

11:11

SHORT NFLX 122.99
STOP 123.3
TGT 122.39

- Didn't bounce as well as SPY
- Tight consolidation trying to break through support
- out -0.39

Bad day.. Only one regretable trade (WYNN) and maybe could have set up COST better but that was going to lose no matter what stop size I chose

Work went nuts after i stopped out on the day (still working). Hope I can finish August strong tomorrow..

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/30/2010-08-30-trades/
 
Great stuff Puddles, keep it up. Day after day, you press home the importance of risk vs reward & discipline of keeping with such. While I miss Geez's posts, it's yours that really opened my eyes in recent months to the importance of R:R.

Cheers man, looking forward to the August recap.
 
Quote from puddles:

Hope I can finish August strong tomorrow..

What a way to finish August.. I scaled down to two charts on one LCD yesterday..

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/pictures/baby_monitor.jpg">

My daughter arrived a little ahead of schedule yesterday. Mother, baby and myself are doing fine but I'm not sure when the next time I'll be placing some trades will be..

August stats: 49-54 (47.5%). +1 baby..
 
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