A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/amgn.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/mon.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/ne.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/sndk.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/rimm.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/jpm.png">

9:40

SHORT AMGN 55.58
STOP 55.72
TGT 55.3

(2 min)

- SPY gap up
- AMGN gap down
- out -0.14

10:05

SHORT MON 59.39
STOP 59.64
TGT 58.88

- same as above, tight lower high on the 5 minute
- out b/e, was 2c from tgt! ugh

10:48

SHORT NE 34.2
STOP 34.28
TGT 34.04

- as SPY tries to header higher NE makes new lows
- out +0.16

13:53

LONG SNDK 46.4
STOP 46.32
TGT 46.56

- SNDK strong and steady from the morning
- ticked out and to tgt
- out -0.08

14:32

LONG RIMM 55.74
STOP 55.66
TGT 55.9

- same as SNDK, rips halfway to tgt after entry
- out b/e

15:23

SHORT JPM 39.69
STOP 39.75
TGT 39.57

- Weaker than SPY most of the day
- Short the setup (at basically LOD +1c)
- out -0.07

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/10/2010-08-09-trades/
 
<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100810/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100810/fosl.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100810/sndk.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100810/gld.png">

9:48

LONG FOSL 45.58
STOP 45.38
TGT 45.98

- Whole market down, FOSL up and trending higher
- hit any higher low as SPY goes lower
- out +0.40

10:12

SHORT SNDK 45.29
STOP 45.43
TGT 45.01

- SPY tries to retrace after 10pm
- SNDK makes new lows
- Short lower high and break of support rather than under the prior bar
- If i had shorted under the prior bar and calculated stop/tgt off it I would have hit TGT 20 minutes later. Instead I chop for 3 hours coming within 1c of my stop
- out +0.3

14:38

LONG GLD 118.01
STOP 117.79
TGT 118.45

- Fed interest rate unchanged, bullish for GLD
- No big pullback bar like SPY, look to get long
- out -0.24

15:00ish

LONG GLD 117.9
STOP 117.69
TGT 118.32

- Same as above, I was a little too emotionally attached to this trade on a fundamental basis
- out -0.21

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/10/2010-08-10-trades/
 
Here's a pic of where all the magic happened at geezy's castle. Thanks again for the hospitality dude!

<img src="http://farm5.static.flickr.com/4074/4881377024_0083f12941_b.jpg">
 
<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/ttm.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/eqr.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/bby.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/nflx.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/cf.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/el.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/rimm.png">

9:45

LONG TTM 21.49
STOP 21.34
TGT 21.79

- Market all down
- TTM gaps up
- Look for a long
- out -0.15

(i didn't lose the full amount as i closed the trade out as i had to rush out but I'm counting it as a loss)

10:04

LONG EQR 46.2
STOP 45.99
TGT 46.62

- EQR gaps down with most of the market but shows a lot of strength from the open
- Long over the higher low, stop under round #
- out -0.21

10:07

SHORT BBY 33.59
STOP 33.66
TGT 33.45

- SPY chopping flat from the open
- BBY very weak
- Short under the tight lower high
- out +0.14

14:30

LONG NFLX 127.01
STOP 126.6
TGT 127.83

- NFLX just a monster
- Long the tight lower high
- out -0.49 (slip)

14:59

LONG CF 81.32
STOP 81.1
TGT 81.76

- SPY makes a big move down from 2:30 onwards
- CF making new highs
- out +0.44

15:06

SHORT EL 60.48
STOP 60.56
TGT 60.32

- Short weakness + tight bar

out -0.10 (slip)

15:19

LONG RIMM 56.13
STOP 56.05
TGT 56.29

- RIMM real strong in the afternoon
- Long over the bar
- It ran so hard i only got filled half size.
- out +0.16

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/11/2010-08-11-trades/
 
Quote from puddles:

14:30

LONG NFLX 127.01
STOP 126.6
TGT 127.83

- NFLX just a monster
- Long the tight lower high
- out -0.49 (slip)

If I'm not mistaken, isn't the spread on NFLX usually around .50? I think you need a 1.00 stop on that "thing" :D
 
<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100812/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100812/rimm2.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100812/rimm5.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100812/mon.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100812/pot.png">

9:43

SHORT RIMM 54.1
STOP 54.3
TGT 53.7

- SPY down huge but heads higher
- RIMM heads lower
- out -0.2

10:23

SHORT RIMM 54.51
STOP 54.67
TGT 54.19

- RIMM still nowhere near the relative strength of SPY
- out -0.16

10:35

SHORT MON 56.24
STOP 56.4
TGT 55.92

- MON with a HUGE opening bar then almost a full retrace down
- The big green bar should have scared me off
- out -0.16

14:14

SHORT POT 11.24
STOP 111.57
TGT 110.61

- SPY puts in a big green bar after 2pm
- POT doesn't follow suit
- Geezy takes it, i follow since my own calls arn't really working
- out -0.37

I had a extremely busy day with meetings and calls all morning AND I started the day off already tilted with an incident before the open. I probably shouldn't have even traded the morning..

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/12/2010-08-12-trades/
 
<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100813/spy.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100813/rimm.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100813/cam.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100813/apol.png">

<img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100813/akam.png">

9:57

SHORG RIMM 53.55
STOP 53.8
TGT 53.05

- RIMM weak vs SPY, showing no bounce
- geezy and i take this one..
- out -0.32
- geezy and i get raped on our stops

12:42

LONG CAM 37.63
STOP 37.55
TGT 37.79

- Great clean strong chart all day
- Break my 11-2 rule and take a partial sized long
- out +0.16 (tgt)
- got +0.21 on a 100 share runner, wanted .99 but kept moving stop up on every higher low, got stopped out at .84

13:23

SHORT APOL 38.84
STOP 38.97
TGT 38.58

- APOL weak all day, big legs down and holding new levels
- out -0.13

14:37

LONG AKAM 44.5
STOP 44.4
TGT 44.7

- SPY heading steadily lower from 1:30 onwards
- AKAM heading in the opposite direction
- out b/e on my 3pm time stop.. Early run to the patio.

I'm counting the AKAM as a loss on my record even though I didn't lose money.

7-16 week which takes my month to 21-24 which is back on plan.. RTM can be a bitch.

http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/13/2010-08-13-trades/
 
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