A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Quote from geez:

Sorry for such a late reply OC,
I agree 100% when looking for a narrow range day on friday(like you said). My game plan going into friday was to get some shorts early on stocks that were extended to the upside this week, looking for alittle retracement in them, also the FAZ (bank shorts), due to the run up in them.
As for the RIMM trade:
One of my favorte patterns is to find a stock either extremely extended on the daily chart, or a stock that is up 2-3 days with very large candles on the daily chart, then has a large gap up the next morning (like RIMM). My plan says to short one of the following: The 1 min, 2 min or 5 min Low, with a stop over the top bar. This is an agressive move, but one that I find works more often than not. The reason I do this type of entry is, alot of times you will see the stock start selling very fast, and cannot find an entry. Also, alot of times you can get in a decent amount of shares and this is one of the VERY few times I look to split my trade: Let's say I go in 1000 shares, I may cover 700 at tgt and let the other 300 go for a bigger tgt. I also try to re-enter on a lower high if one sets up, adding back in a full position. Like I said, I am going to post my 4 patterns in much greater detail (this being one of them), but I'm trying to get the charts posted too, to give a good visual of each pattern. Hope the explaination helps, good trading to you next week. -G

Looking forward to it G
 
Trade Descriptions from 4/03:

9:33 RIMM SHORT 59.65
* On the daily chart RIMM had 2 strong moves up wed & thurs, then gapped up fri. over $10.00. I like to be agressive on these typeof setups, using the 1 -5 min low to short. I shorted under the 1 min low 59.65, put my stop over the 2nd 1 min bar 60.15 and tgt 58.65. This moved .40 in my favor, but reversed and stopped for a loss.

9:47 FAZ BUY 18.07
*The financial sector is extended to the upside and looking for some retracement I bought the 1st reversal to the upside on the 5 min chart of FAZ. I bought over the 9:45 bar (18.07), the stop under the pivot (17.77) and tgt at 18.67. Moved .28 in my favor , then based, turned for a loss.

10:20 DXD BUY 57.76
* This is also an agressive entry because my bias was all shorts today. DXD had a strong move up at 10:05, followed by 2 very small bars from 10:10-10:15 and I bought as soon as it crossed the 10:15 high of 57.75. I put my stop under the 10:15 low (57.51) and tgt 58.26. wiggled me out for a loss then went to a high of 57.17 (still not tgt).

10:32 RIMM SHORT 58.77
* RIMM sets up a lower high on the 5 min chart when it falls below the 10:30 5 min bar (58.77), I put my stop over the high of this pivot (59.12) and tgt 58.07. RIMM drops .29 in my favor, then reverses for a loss.

1:09 QID BUY 42.96
*QID based near the lows through lunch. the 12:50 bar makes a strong move up and is followed by a small higher low. my charts were lagging and I wanted to buy over what I thought was the high of the 1:05 bar(my charts said 42.93), but the ACTUAL entry should have been 43.07. I put my stop under the pivot (42.76) and my tgt at 43.36. Stopped at 42.76.
This is a set up I really like and works well when a stock is oversold on the daily chart and keeps moving lower through out the day.
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All 5 trades are part of my trading plan and trades that are easy to see on the charts, so I can't fault any of them. I had a very strong short bias going into the day and took all my trades to the short side (or bought the ETF short). Some days things all go in your favor and some times they all work against your bias. I would take all these trades again, and that is a good way to evaluate yourself if you had a bad day. Monday I will keep the same view (short bias) for the same reasons, we are even alittle more extended on the financials and the indexes. My only concern is can I mentally stay focused to get into trades early on monday after being shutout on friday, or will I let the setups go by, worried about losing on them. We shall see!!
 
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