Quote from fubar:
Is this why so many traders are drawn to promises of the grail such as Woodies CCI and Jack Hershey SCT?
And would it be correct to assume that the 5% of profitable traders devise their own methods and avoid the herd.. therefore leaving 100% of losing traders in the CCI and SCT category?
What is it in the human psyche that causes us to blindly follow others that ridiculously claim to have a method that never has a losing trade.. what is the fatal flaw in our makeup that allows us to ignore common sense?
I know students of Joseph Campbell would point out the 2 examples above are quite old men and the unconscious may be identifying with the wise old man/cosmic father archetype, even though the claims remain ludicrous they have the aura of the grail because of this unconscious association
Clearly you don't understand how the market works
The idea that subscribers to specific approaches are more or less successful because of the approach is incorrect. What is correct is that some traders have been successful in finding an approach that fits their skill set, their psychological strengths and weaknesses, and their experiences. Its not easy but it can be done. Some get there by luck, others by hard work, and still others by some combination of the two. It is certainly a minority but I wouldn't put a number on it, and I think those that do, have no idea of what is real.
Also, there isn't a natural selection process at work here. So a person can stay on here year after year, post after post, never making anything of themselves, and never having to admit that they aren't cut out for this work..Look for instance at MarketSurfer's thread or posts by Jimmy Jam. Each has many thousands of posts. They have been here forever. You would think after all this time, one or the other would have found a way to make consistent money....but no....not even close..
What is the answer. Could it be that Marketsurfer's NeoGann Death Channel (sorry, it always makes me laugh to type it) or Jimmy's flavor of the month chart are complete crap? Who knows? All I can say is if either one were employed by a financial firm, by now they would have found themselves on the sidewalk holding a box of office supplies.
Your comments seem to focus on specific approaches. If so, you should know that the clock is running, and unless you have unlimited time and funds, at some point you will have to either find a way that works for you, or admit that you just don't have what it takes.
If you are interested I would be glad to try to point you in a direction that is more productive. Who knows, maybe others in your same situation could benefit seeing how you handle it.
Steve