Quote from Martinghoul:
All sorts of people believe all sorts of things. I believe my eyes and facts. See my previous post regarding the facts of Fed's transparency or lack thereof. Make your own conclusions.
What does my trading have to do with anything? But, generally, I trade using my brain and I think about a variety of factors. I do not know what "assessing a trend" means. In fact, I have yet to see a rigorous definition of "trend".
The Fed has already stopped the program of outright treasury purchases. It's very unlikely that it will resume. The question now is whether it will continue/expand the purchases of Agency MBS. That depends largely on the state of the US housing mkt.
I have already addressed the specific issue of Fed transparency. I am not sure what uprising you might be referring to. If you want to know my general views on the issue, here they are.
The Fed is not the problem. The debt/deficit issues have been created by the politicians that have never bothered to stop and think about the implications of their actions. Demands for transparency and accountability have to be addressed to each new Congress and President. In fact, it boggles the mind how completely cavalier the legislative and executive branch have both been with the fiscal situation. For example, countries like Australia, Norway and Sweden have specific, long-term rules and regulations in place to prevent govts from running amok with the budget. Moreover, they periodically examine the condition of the budget and threats to long-term fiscal sustainability. What does the US govt do? Nothing. In fact, every single new president seems to get elected into office on a platform of yet more tax cuts, deficits be damned. Fix the political process and stop looking for problems at the Fed.
I've never understood all of the hatred towards the FED. It's Congress and POTUS that write and sign the budget.
These are the people to blame for the state of financial distress we find ourselves in.