Quote from EON Kid:
Only four of the stock markets we follow were in positive territory on the year as of June
25. Three of them (Indonesia, India and South Korea) are in Asia. One (Germany) is in Europe. The
only market with a significant advance over the year to date is the Indonesian market which is up 16.3
percent on the year. The next best performance is a 2.8 percent increase by the South Korean market.
The worst performing stock market in 2010 is the Chinese market, down 22.1 percent from its level at the
end of 2009. China is globally touted as the economic âengineâ which is pulling the world towards
ârecoveryâ.
Shanghai/china stocks dont have the concept of fundamentals, yes all the companies release their numbers and there are hot growth sectors etc..but in the end it's all just bullshit (the stock market). Also to give you some idea, there NEVER is a listed company going bankrupt to my knowledge, everytime a listed company is in trouble, there are HUNDREDS of companies waiting in line with cash in hand to buy them. Why? Because it's so much cheaper/easier to buy a public company and become listed than going through the process themselves.
People basically only trade on news, tips and technicals to some extent, noone look at balance sheets or any of that. The crash last 2 years made many investors (grandmas and average joes) lose faith in the stock market, curbing upside. Keep in mind this is a very young and inexperienced market, most investors never experienced a bear market before the global meltdown there. Everyone and their gramdma(literally) was investing in stocks during the bull run thinking it's a sure thing, then BAM all of them got hit hard, and that was it, they wont be putting more money for a while until this memory start to fade. Unlike western investors who are experienced and understand market cycles etc...a lot of chinese stock investors are clueless about world finance/stocks, all they know is this "sure thing" isnt working anymore. Human nature never change, no matter the market or country.
So shanghai stock is considered dead money to me right now, i have some small investments in their etf50 index fund (=sp500 here). The way i see it, i will be fine missing the first leg up when the bull happens, no point keeping money in it now. There are some who believe once the real estate market cools, the stock market will become hot again, and it certainly isnt a bad theory... as those are the only two options for most people to invest in china...and chinese right now has a lot of cash on the sidelines, so you can see the dilemma a lot of rich chinese have - no place to put money right now.