Larry Sabato...
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/off-to-the-races/
The overall picture is this: A Republican Senate gain of four-to-eight seats, with a GOP Senate pickup of six-to-seven seats the likeliest outcome; a GOP gain of somewhere around a half-dozen seats in the House; and little net party change in the gubernatorial lineup even as a few incumbents lose. So what could shift these projections in a significant way, beyond candidate implosions that move individual races on and off the board?
leftist papers see the situation getting worse for their team.
Washington Post says 63%
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...t-gives-gop-a-63-chance-of-taking-the-senate/
NYTimes says 65%
http://www.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2014/senate-model/
Nate Silver...
538 says most likely
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/republican-gop-senate-forecast/
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/off-to-the-races/
The overall picture is this: A Republican Senate gain of four-to-eight seats, with a GOP Senate pickup of six-to-seven seats the likeliest outcome; a GOP gain of somewhere around a half-dozen seats in the House; and little net party change in the gubernatorial lineup even as a few incumbents lose. So what could shift these projections in a significant way, beyond candidate implosions that move individual races on and off the board?
leftist papers see the situation getting worse for their team.
Washington Post says 63%
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...t-gives-gop-a-63-chance-of-taking-the-senate/
NYTimes says 65%
http://www.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2014/senate-model/
Nate Silver...
538 says most likely
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/republican-gop-senate-forecast/