538 Now has Trump at 42% Chance

It is going to come down to the debates. It does not really matter what Hillary does at the debates because people know she is a liar and people have completely tuned her out. At this point she is hoping he goes off on one of his tirades so that she can win by default.

If Trump comes out of the debate looking like he knows what he is talking about and seems Presidential, the race is over and Trump will win. If Trump displays his antics and does not come across as serious, then he will lose. Trump controls his own destiny. Hillary on the other hand, does not.

There is always the wildcard that Hillary does not even make it to election day as the nominee. If she keeps polling bad, I think she will have another 'health scare' and decide to drop out for health reasons and the dems will insert Biden, Kaine, or Chelsea in.
 
wildchild said:
It is going to come down to the debates. It does not really matter what Hillary does at the debates because people know she is a liar and people have completely tuned her out. At this point she is hoping he goes off on one of his tirades so that she can win by default.

If Trump comes out of the debate looking like he knows what he is talking about and seems Presidential, the race is over and Trump will win. If Trump displays his antics and does not come across as serious, then he will lose. Trump controls his own destiny. Hillary on the other hand, does not.

There is always the wildcard that Hillary does not even make it to election day as the nominee. If she keeps polling bad, I think she will have another 'health scare' and decide to drop out for health reasons and the dems will insert Biden, Kaine, or Chelsea in.
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What if she has another one of these on national television:

 
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U.S. Earns Top Approval Rating of Five Major Powers – Trump’s Russia is Last
By Hrafnkell Haraldsson on Fri, Oct 14th, 2016 at 10:26 pm

"For the third consecutive year, the leadership of the U.S. earns the highest approval ratings among five major global powers."



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As Gallup reports,

“Since President Barack Obama took office in 2009, the image of the U.S. has been relatively strong worldwide. Approval ratings of U.S. leadership have not yet returned to the high levels observed when he first took office (49%), but in most years, they have been higher than the ratings for other major global powers — several of whom have had similar continuity in their leadership.”

The other four countries are Russia, China, Germany, and the European Union. Their ranks come out as follows:

United States – 45
Germany – 43
European Union – 39
China – 30
Russia – 24

All this is at odds with Donald Trump’s rhetoric. According to Trump, this should be impossible. The Republican nominee praises Russian strongman Vladimir Putin as often as he condemns our own leadership, saying at one point of Putin,

“He’s running his country, and at least he’s a leader, unlike what we have in this country…”

Trump is right about this, at least: it is to Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, among others of Obama’s appointees, that we can trace the responsibility for America’s global image.

As in so many things, Trump’s words are at odds with fact, and his anti-American rhetoric exposed as the lie it is. Trump says he wants to make America great again, but he can’t do that while working for a foreign government against his own.
 
so his ratings have dropped but he still leads a dictatorship and the communist party in china.

and he leads two other places which are carrying on the same destructive immigration policies... one that is falling apart with Brexit.
 
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