50-100% 2007 target return possible with options?

Quote from smilingsynic:

In this low volatility market, I find it hard to believe that anyone is making 10-15% a month in covered calls unless they're selling way out of the money and making the bulk of their profits on stock selection....... There simply isn't enough premium to sell a call close to atm and make that kind of money consistently.
Hey just look at this. www.callpix.com.
I have used this for searching for CC's, LEAP calendar Spreads and also Credit Spreads plays.
Look at the few listed on the top with the highest bid/price%.
Then do you homework and see what will work and what won't work. I picked up NFLD last month on the list as a High Bid/Price%, and found a profitable bull put spread out of it....
Friday at exp it will be a 11.5 percent return for the month....

My 2 cents...
 
You might want to re-read my original post.

You are right, I don't know anything. I don't have 6mm plus trading averaging 50+per year in the sp and i didn't successfully trade through the bubble. shucks.

btw, nobody here follows me. Thanks for the derogatory pm, at least there was a smiley attached.

'Should have taken the blue pill.


Quote from der_kommissar:

pathetic humor.

ANYWAY, the reason why I think you are your cohorts are fools is really quite simple.

You make generic, all encompassing statements such as "selling options has positive expectancy". Of course, this is open to LOTS of debate, but you probably dont know that.

It's also obvious that you weren't trading back when we had VOLATILITY.

It's clear that you are a rank amateur, however you clearly have a following of fellow amateurs who probably are enthralled with your empty platitudes such as "selling options has positive expectancy".

What a wonderful line of bullshit.
 
Quote from daddy'sboy:

Excuse me for interjecting, but prevail said the exact opposite - namely that selling options has negative expectancy. So, when someone claims that selling options has an 'edge' or 'positive expectancy' or whatever bullshit term is fashionable, it always starts an argument. That's what prevail is saying. How did you get the idea that he thinks it's a positive expectancy event?
And why are you so angry - trades not going your way (happens to the best of us)?

bingo, at least one person got it.
 
Quote from Profitaker:

Making 10% - 15% per month ROI selling naked Puts is easily doable. Making 10% - 15% selling CC's much less so. Even though both strategies are essentially one of the same, you wouldn't get the leverage selling CC's when compared to naked Puts.

Yes, you are right, but selling puts aggressively is an invitation to disaster. The question is not if, but when.

No free lunch (except the one I had at Applebees today thanks to a gift card).

If one wants to sell 5 puts, then be prepared to buy 500 shares of that stock. Those who do not want to (be forced to) buy 500 shares shouldn't sell 5 puts in the first place.
 
Quote from optioncoach:

CCs have their own characteristics. You will underperform a strong bullish market, outperform a somewhat bullish and sideways market and loss slightly less in a downward market.

This is one option strategy where stock selection is really really key. Most people try and diversify their stock selections in a portfolio so that they can reduce as best as possible the effects of some of the stocks tanking or at least have tight stop losses.

If you are buying a stock which you feel real bullish on, instead of moving the strike well OTM to make the CC position as bullish as possible (and really reduce the premium collected) you can scale out of the position and thus collect premium while still getting capital appreciation.

For example, assume you buy 1500 shares of XYZ at $20. Instead of selling 15 calls at $22.50, for example, sell 5 calls at $22.50. If stock moves above $22.50, you are called out of 500 shares but still have 1000 shares moving higher. You could then sell another 5 calls at the next higher strike and keep selling partial calls until all the stock is called away. This way you collect premium and still get capital appreciation on a high flying stock. This of course works best on stocks that you feel are really going to move higher. It can even work for sideways stocks.

CCs does not have to be so straight-forward. You can still adjust how you do it to enhance returns and change your approach Scaling Out strategy above is one example. You coulld also do a ratio write on stocks that really look to move sideways. For 500 shares of XYZ you could write 7 calls for example. Naked call risk but you need to have a stop loss on the upside.

I would proceed with caution on the sell the stock and leave the naked call there. Not a good idea to adjust a significant risk position into an unlimited risk position. If a stock has moved up or stays sideways and the potential for a drop looks like it is on the horizon, maybe better to spend the call premium on some puts and convert to a collar to lock up the risk as much as possible.

great post optionscoach. I'm impressed :D

I do see why you advocate to not sell the stock & go naked. It''s a completely different strategy; much diff risk as well. And, of course, as you said, I always put an SL to the upside.

Making it a collar? Not a bad idea @ all. :D

One more thing:

one thing I like a lot is wiritng calls against LEAP positions. (leap calender spread) Basically same as covered calls, only w. LEAPs not common. If I'm gonna do this, the LEAP will always be ITM and the calls will probably be slightly OTM.

I'll write calls over & over (if I can), adjusting as necessary, &, when the trade works out right, the LEAP becomes free.

Just another thing to talk about :D

Quote from Arnie Guitar:

I am talking ROI.
10-15% ROI/month on CC's?....
icon_bs.gif



What kind of question is that? Of course, and I've written quite a few, still do. Naked Puts, too.


Profound.

Okay first of all, ROI means "return on investment."

I'm talking about 10-15% on the position. Return. In a month.

NOT on the whole dang port. I guess if you threw your entire account into a CC position, yes you could make 10-15% return on the portfolio, but of course that would be silly.

I'm not trying to insult you here Arnie.

I don't know why you find the urge to talk down to me.

Quote from jllm03:

Hey just look at this. www.callpix.com.
I have used this for searching for CC's, LEAP calendar Spreads and also Credit Spreads plays.
Look at the few listed on the top with the highest bid/price%.
Then do you homework and see what will work and what won't work. I picked up NFLD last month on the list as a High Bid/Price%, and found a profitable bull put spread out of it....
Friday at exp it will be a 11.5 percent return for the month....

My 2 cents...

good post jllm.

Nice site too. :cool:
 
Yes using the LEAPS is basically a diagonal spread. You can put the LEAP deep ITM to replicate stock ata lower cost or use only slightly ITM LEAPs for a ddiagonal bull call spread. You can sell calls across different expiration months as well.

For example, buy JAN 08 $50 LEAP with stock at $65 and sell JAN07 $70 Calls, FEB $75 Calls and the next month in the cycle $80 Calls so you are spread out on strikes and time. You can play with it many ways in stead of straight vanilla position. For example if IVs are higher in later months and skewed, you can stretch the calls across the later months to sell.

Quote from dr_sean:

great post optionscoach. I'm impressed :D

I do see why you advocate to not sell the stock & go naked. It''s a completely different strategy; much diff risk as well. And, of course, as you said, I always put an SL to the upside.

Making it a collar? Not a bad idea @ all. :D

One more thing:

one thing I like a lot is wiritng calls against LEAP positions. Basically same as covered calls, only w. LEAPs not common. If I'm gonna do this, the LEAP will always be ITM and the calls will probably be slightly OTM.

I'll write calls over & over (if I can), adjusting as necessary, &, when the trade works out right, the LEAP becomes free.

Just another thing to talk about :D
 
Yes I generally look for LEAPs w. delta of 1 .00 or thereabouts to duplicate stock ownership...of course w. less equity tied up.

Quote from optioncoach:

Yes using the LEAPS is basically a diagonal spread. You can put the LEAP deep ITM to replicate stock ata lower cost or use only slightly ITM LEAPs for a ddiagonal bull call spread. You can sell calls across different expiration months as well.

For example, buy JAN 08 $50 LEAP with stock at $65 and sell JAN07 $70 Calls, FEB $75 Calls and the next month in the cycle $80 Calls so you are spread out on strikes and time. You can play with it many ways in stead of straight vanilla position. For example if IVs are higher in later months and skewed, you can stretch the calls across the later months to sell.
 
Quote from smilingsynic:

Yes, you are right, but selling puts aggressively is an invitation to disaster. The question is not if, but when.

No free lunch (except the one I had at Applebees today thanks to a gift card).

If one wants to sell 5 puts, then be prepared to buy 500 shares of that stock. Those who do not want to (be forced to) buy 500 shares shouldn't sell 5 puts in the first place.

An OTM credit spread is the way to go. Very little margin is required.
 
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