I don't really follow Sweet Bobby's thread and therefore, I won't make any comment about his trading method. Those who trade this market successful for decades always keep big pictures in mind while trading smaller pictures. Doing so will help these traders trade along with market direction. I know you will keep question that it's impossible to figure out market direction and I'll leave that to you to do your homework because a sentence or two won't be enough to elaborate this complicated topic.
Since you are wondering how some traders able to generate >100% return in a very short time frame, I'm going to show you below screenshot of my trades within last week from two trading accounts (I do this for the purpose of avoiding paying more taxes in Canada). Since I've paid off for my house and set aside a sufficient amount of money for living, I tend to use 1/3 to 2/3 of capital in each portfolio to trade from two trading systems that offers between 80% and 90% of winning rate.
I'm done with explanation, which is unnecessary for me as I don't expect anyone to follow me as well as bothering me with PMs about how to make money in the market.
Since you are wondering how some traders able to generate >100% return in a very short time frame, I'm going to show you below screenshot of my trades within last week from two trading accounts (I do this for the purpose of avoiding paying more taxes in Canada). Since I've paid off for my house and set aside a sufficient amount of money for living, I tend to use 1/3 to 2/3 of capital in each portfolio to trade from two trading systems that offers between 80% and 90% of winning rate.
I'm done with explanation, which is unnecessary for me as I don't expect anyone to follow me as well as bothering me with PMs about how to make money in the market.
I don't know enough, or anything really, about selling options premium, so I just cannot comment well enough. But I have been following the thread in the journal section by Sweet Bobby and what I have learned is that doing something like this is very much underestimating the risk that will hit one day. Now I know you say you survived 2000 and 2007 which is reassuring, but once again, I don't know enough about this type of investing, nor do I know enough about your strategy.
But I really do have to wonder how it is that you're producing more than 100% return without taking one huge risk. It just seems to me that this edge wouldn't be that available to you unless you are underestimating something.
I do agree with you that posting things on ET gets difficult at times, but its precisely because anyone just says whatever they want, and they don't back anything up, but rather, fire off with some sort of rant that has nothing to do with the issue. When making extraordinary claims, I think its important to have to go to extra lengths to prove them.
I realize that selling premium probably is an easier way to get a high win rate, rather than trading some instrument out right, but the way you make it sound like, you're getting direction right every single time. With options and selling premium, it seems to me that its a case of you selling insurance that there won't be an earthquake tomorrow, and sure, you can go for years being wrong every single day, but this isn't exactly the same thing as getting market direction right every day. Just based on this fact alone, I don't think its fair to say you're always getting market direction right. All you're doing is making a bet that today, there isn't going to be a monster move in the stock.... is this correct? And if this is correct, then this is a much different thing. I would be willing to bet that tomorrow, the ES will move more than 5 points from the high to the low. Will this make me correct about market direction?