i did notice oil basically ignoring eur/usd's movement today very odd. a sign of weakness i think. was able to get that last spike down, the sudden downspike in ES sent oil down moments after.
Quote from InvestVision:
oil price has built in price factor of assumption weak dollar .
it seems market may start doubting that assumption that may be the factor in this oil sell off .
let us wait what news analysts says
Quote from InvestVision:
CNBC news just said today sell off in gasoline pulled the oil down, this was main factor
I am down 50 cents/lot in this sell off, wondering should I hold off these over week end.
Is anybody holding over weekend ? Any ideas holding oil over weekend from this AUG 7180 level .
Given next week fed meeting news anybody holding over weekend
Quote from InvestVision:
in addition to weak gasoline fundamentals pulling oil down , today is quadraple option expiry day
my guess is this big option sellers ( in many OIL company stocks and OIL indices ) may have lots of CALL options sold ( oil company stocks options equivalent of OIL at 73 - 75 level ) to small traders. You know all BIG traders always SELL both CALLs and PUTs they never buy these.
so pushing oil prices down today keep them all those options expire worth less and they can keep all premiums
Quote from usman88:
beautifully explained....not to mention big players sell covered calls which means now they are also squaring their positions earning not only option premium but also profits on long future positions