3 BEAR FACTORS ON OIL PRICE
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1) Everybody's worried about the swine flu and what it could do to air travel," said Michael Lynch, president of Strategic Energy and Economic Research in Amherst, Mass. "It's going to be on people's minds as a downside risk in the next couple of days."
2) Mideast OPEC members said Sunday that oil markets are oversupplied, but the cartel is unlikely to approve a further cut in official output quota at the meeting.
"There is a surplus (in the market), but it doesn't mean that we're heading for further cuts, no. We have to wait," Kuwait's oil minister Sheikh Ahmad Al Abdullah Al Sabah told Dow Jones Newswires in Tokyo.
Saudi Arabia's oil minister, Ali Naimi, said the current market is "definitely oversupplied", but that it would eventually tighten.
3) Crude oil has hovered near $50 a barrel for weeks as high oil inventories cap price gains. As of April 21, large speculative traders were net short, or largely betting on a price decline, in Nymex oil futures, according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released Friday.
The net short position of 14,605 contracts was the first since March 10 and the biggest since Nov. 11.