Thanks guys
Yes spanish its 45.50
Ive started a new journal(but that is for 1 account where Ill be trading to make monthly income for myself) As some of you know Ive other accounts too(which are bigger in size) and we have to decided to go long and wait till it reaches $50 in all our accounts. So basically its position trading.
As far as oil price is concerned, consider yourself in the seat of Saudi Arabia or any other oil producing country. Would you
1)rather not oil output in the Mar 15 meeting risking $30 oil(25-30% drop in price and revenues)
OR
2)You would cut oil output leading to certain $50 average price and 10% increase in revenues?
To make your decision easier, you have OPEC, EIA and IEA all cutting demand forecasts. Would you still continue producing more?
IMO OPEC would write their own death sentence by not cutting outptut.
Coming to this current drop in prices(from 48 to 42 today), we had a massive sell off. Retracement to $4550-4600 is very likely(most prolly on friday). Did you guys just looked how oil kept on dropping today and yesterday. It seemed as if oil would certainly go to $30 in a week no matter what. IMO thats exactly how big players operate. They manipulate the rates in such a way to 'force' every small player into shorts and then ka boom...price shoots up.
And as far as being long is concerned, with adequate margin at current rates one shouldnt be afraid of staying long. All it takes is one event related to Iran, Nigeria, Israel/Palestine etc.
Moreover we also have a bottom on daily chart.
In the end, my view is that we will be touching 4500-4600 on friday and on monday, even if OPEC does not cuts output, a test of 4850 is certain