5% - 10% profit per day trading

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I didn't trade crude today.
Last day before rollover can be very volatile and I am not quick enough to be good at that.
I hope you recovered anyhow
Nicola
 
Quote from Yrutman:

Well I lost a little over 2500 yesterday and I never trade with more than 10k in my futures account and its CL only. I have done some amazing things trading this product and not so amazing things this past year. I can tell you that there is a rebound on the way but I believe there may be a nasty drop ino the 33 level, but we are oversold and when oil gets oversold you have seen some pretty good rallies. I believe that can happen anytime including today whether or not we hit the 33 level. I plan on longing a contract or two myself right at the close.

I agree with you , it can hit hard bottom .
Once bounces back we should see atleast 37-38 range before this contract expires (next friday??) .
Now the question is should we hold or close and wait for uptick ( holding on a solid base price) to re-enter. The problem with waiting for uptick (after close) is we do not know when that will happen. You see this morning it bounced to 36 briefly ..
If the solid base price forms quickly then there is risk of not entering at low especially after closing position at low price by taking loss ..
 
Quote from elitejets:

I didn't trade crude today.
Last day before rollover can be very volatile and I am not quick enough to be good at that.
I hope you recovered anyhow
Nicola


crude March 09 contract expiry is next friday that is FEB 20 th , here is contract info from my broker platform (IB).

Can you pls. verify so that we all make informed decision ( in case if I got wrong info )

Light Sweet Crude Oil
Underlying : CL
Security Type : FUT
Contract Month : MAR09
Expiration Date : FEB 20 '09
Exchange : NYMEX
 
Quote from InvestVision:

It is pretty bad for all of us who are holding LONG.

I am still holding , i did not see any comments from forum, I know it was pretty bad ... please post your thoughts ...


I took the hit hard... :(

Im now gna just focus on getting a job as a firefighter (i looked and i will only have to work 2days, then half a night for 2nights so not even real working as i get the whole day off),
and then the get the next full 4days off too... :)

So if you include the 2nights as = 1day i work 12days per month for £1,900.. :)



So i can trade during the 2days that id work nights, and then have 4days to trade also.

However im really starting to doubt trading now that all the volatility has gone,
since i know exactly how i could trade and how i couldnt (pyschologically), and while i am extremely good at getting very good entries, i also know that i wont ever hold a trade for more than 1.5dollars at ultimate maximum, even though i would have moved stoploss to breakeven by then.

Since i focus on trading reversals, not trying to call tops and bottoms though.
And so when i sell and it falls sharply into profit, if i dont cash it in the market could very easily just rise back up and undo all my profit and continue moving up,
as the reversal may have just been a decent pullback move, but not be the high of the day reversal.


However often, like all those times throughout january, and that final trade 2days ago, i nailed the perfect sell entry at 41.46,
but then took barely £220 profit (about 35ticks after spread),
and then missed out on £4,000 that id have made if id just gambled and taken the risk of holding for 2days straight as it made a huge elongated over stretched down move.

And i know inside that i wouldnt ever hold a trade for that long as only a gambler would do that,
yet its the gamblers who often get lucky and make the money.


So now all the volatility is over its extremely likely that we arent gna get a few dollar moves, followed by a few dollars pullback, followed by another few dollars movement...
All in the space of 5 t 10minutes.

We will instead get very very slow long over stretched trend moves of 3 t 6 dollars in each direction,
but they will take 2 t 4days to move that much as they'l move very slowly, with lots and lots of pauses filled wih sideways action in between, and lots of fake-out reversal n pullback formations as the move happens.



And i hate the actual act of trading enough already, only do it for the fast easy money.

But now that that will be gone, i see no reason to stay either. :)


When i can instead get a job where i will be able to get a nice guaranteed pay-cheque every month without any stress! :)
 
Quote from InvestVision:

crude March 09 contract expiry is next friday that is FEB 20 th , here is contract info from my broker platform (IB).

Can you pls. verify so that we all make informed decision ( in case if I got wrong info )

Light Sweet Crude Oil
Underlying : CL
Security Type : FUT
Contract Month : MAR09
Expiration Date : FEB 20 '09
Exchange : NYMEX
Correct.
 
Quote from elitejets:

Not my best plan of the day. stopped out -30 each and will try again later!


the above trade is another out of book classic example of using stops and it saves you .. good job @elitejets when you look back ..
I am not disciplined to use it , not having stops helped me many times ( when bounced back ) , but it hurts badly in this kind of cases
 
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