Quote from acrary:
Here's another twist. The one day std. dev. has been about 15 pts. since 1997. Here's what happens when you truncate the loss to 1/2 of a std. deviation instead of a fixed # of points.
wow! a lot going on here. So I guess those people who say, "Ah the market, one day it's up the next day it's down" are wrong. (notice how they say that, but they never trade their convictions?)Quote from acrary:
I noticed in setting up for the test, that you wanted emini data before the open till the stock close. I don't have that. These tests are on the SP futures market beginning with 9:30 and ending at 4:15 pm. The results assume no slippage or commissions. I ran the tests from 1/1/97 - 7/31/2001 as that's the upper limit of the data I have in my continuous contracts.
Here's the results of your original idea:
I'm trying to see if I get this edge testing.Quote from Breakout:
Hey acrary...I don't know if you want to do any more or not.
If you don't want to that's cool.
But, I was wondering. What if you went long or short on the
breakout of the 1st 10 minute bar, put a 3 point stop in and
got out if you reached a 9 point profit target or , or market on
close if target not hit?
no, you'd need more than that, because there is a time factor, in that the breakout may not occur on the next bar.Quote from profitseer:
I'm trying to see if I get this edge testing.
So to test your system for an edge breakout, I believe you would test for going long after every first 10 min bar with 3 pt stop 9 pt target or moc.
Then you would go short after every first 10 min bar with same rules,
Then you would compare your results to both the longs and the shorts, and if you beat both of them you have a measurable edge.
Is that correct?
If it is, it's about the most exciting concept I have ever heard.
Quote from Breakout:
Hey acrary...I don't know if you want to do any more or not.
If you don't want to that's cool.
But, I was wondering. What if you went long or short on the
breakout of the 1st 10 minute bar, put a 3 point stop in and
got out if you reached a 9 point profit target or , or market on
close if target not hit?
Quote from profitseer:
I'm trying to see if I get this edge testing.
So to test your system for an edge breakout, I believe you would test for going long after every first 10 min bar with 3 pt stop 9 pt target or moc.
Then you would go short after every first 10 min bar with same rules,
Then you would compare your results to both the longs and the shorts, and if you beat both of them you have a measurable edge.
Is that correct?
If it is, it's about the most exciting concept I have ever heard.
Quote from profitseer:
I'm trying to see if I get this edge testing.
So to test your system for an edge breakout, I believe you would test for going long after every first 10 min bar with 3 pt stop 9 pt target or moc.
Then you would go short after every first 10 min bar with same rules,
Then you would compare your results to both the longs and the shorts, and if you beat both of them you have a measurable edge.
Is that correct?
If it is, it's about the most exciting concept I have ever heard.
