Quote from outsource:
Why don`t you show YOUR statement?
I have... I've done it for years. My track-record as a professional trader is littered all over the internet. Barclays, Autumn-Gold etc. That is the whole point... if you're going to make claims about your abilities you should be able to back it up. You're making my point but it's mis-directed. You should be asking your good buddy Jack and your BFF Ammo for proof.
This thread was about a general observation, something that I hoped would spark some serious debate about how to research and implement the real issues surrounding behavioral finance, not the make believe stuff that Jack thinks he's figured out.
Interestingly right out of the gate it turned into "this is" a "bullshit" thread. Instead of embracing the idea that maybe we should all do some work, people like Ammo immediately discounted the value of doing a little digging into it... And yet (but not surprisingly) he is the first to defend Jack's junk science. Do you see the irony?
Let's research something of substance... No, no it's all bullshit. Danger, danger, what will we do if we have to face the truth?
vs....
Hey Jack, do you have any basis for all this supposed behavioral finance strategy you're espousing but doesn't seem to exist elsewhere... Fawk you how dare you question the guru, he has knowledge beyond us all... he is beyond reproach his word is 'truth'.
Ammo is an amazing representation of what is wrong with the retail trader. Reject common sense because 1. It requires work and 2. The answers rarely are what we "hope" for... But on the flip he will immediately embrace any hocus poscus that helps him hang on to a "hope" no matter how unlikely it is.
That of course is Cammol toes right... what makes me mad is when a pack of cammol toe become a collective herd, a voice, and people buy into it because they don't understand the basics. They sit hear and watch the humps speak with authority and confidence and they are swayed, in no small part because the humps are also feeding their "hopes".
Here is the awful truth... for the majority of traders "hoping" for success will never produce it. More often than not it will wipe you out.
If you the reader (not the humps - they are lost) are serious about really learning how to trade I recommend these in this order....
1. The Little Book of Behavioral Investing - Montier
2. Advances in Behavioral Finance II - Thaler
These will help you see yourself and others which will also help you identify what "might" be happening in the market.
3 Evidence-Based Technical Analysis - Aronson
This will lay the ground work for how to properly test.
4. Optimal Trading Strategies - Kissel & Glantz
Will get you thinking about risks and impacts
and finally... if you must be a technical trader...
5. Trading Systems and Methods - Kaufman
Once you have the first four books floating in your head you can take Perry's book and begin to test methods properly. This will be the basis for significant knowledge in your testing and your beliefs going forward. Good testing leads to realistic beliefs which can save you a lot of money down the road.
On with Cammol & Friends...