no es bueno
2k to 20k
- Thread starter Sekiyo
- Start date
no es bueno
“I definitely have a plan,
Just the “Super trend” is still in construction.
I could word of mouth it over a programmer,
Even if there‘s more, known unkowns, in a system.
It’s swing highs and lows around PA.
Buy breakout. Sell breakdown.
Stop at the opposite swing,
Move the stop for each higher low,
Add more on each consecutive swing break.
Swings are systematically defined.
Super trend is to avoid choppy action,
Filter out slow markets from the equation.”
A bit more detailed.
If I give you more you’ll have to trade for me.
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Hell it looks like you been thinkin about this, man.“I definitely have a plan,
Just the “Super trend” is still in construction.
I could word of mouth it over a programmer,
Even if there‘s more, known unkowns, in a system.
It’s swing highs and lows around PA.
Buy breakout. Sell breakdown.
Stop at the opposite swing,
Move the stop for each higher low,
Add more on each consecutive swing break.
Swings are systematically defined.
Super trend is to avoid choppy action,
Filter out slow markets from the equation.”
A bit more detailed.
If I give you more you’ll have to trade for me.
Break a Leg.
Actually they call it “Power trend” and is defined as :
1) The low is above the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA) for at least 10 days.
2) The 21-day EMA is above the 50-day simple moving average for at least five days.
3) The 50-day line is in an uptrend (one day is sufficient).
4) The market closes up for the day.
A power trend typically ends when the 21-day crosses back below the 50-day
Thank you !
Well … I’d be glad if I could do some backtesting.
I believe NT offer this feature. Maybe in the “Leased” license. Gotta learn some Ninjascript.
I’ll do my best.
I am also curious
If I had to set a limit it should be on the downside.
But god made humans greedy and fearful the wrong way.
I plan to risk 50 to 100bp per trade …
My goal is 1% per day.
Maybe I should stop if I reach -1%
But this leaves me with 1 or 2 shots per day.
5 shots sound more appropriate.
However I am not willing to risk 20bp per trade.
If I limit my drawdown to 2% per day,
I can have 5 consecutive losses if I risk 40bp.
Sounds better.
That being said … 0.4% of 2000 is 8$
8$ on the MES is 1.5 points.
Which isn’t viable.
I’d need at least a 5 points stop loss,
Which is 25$ + fees or 1.25%
For 5 trades, max risk is 6.25%
Therefore I should aim for at least 6.25% profit.
In this case if I lose less than half the day,
Then I can generate excess returns.
In therory and without any statistics,
If my goal is 1% then I should aim for -1 or 3% per day.
If half the day is going to be one or the other outcome.
Or [-2, 4] or [-3, 5] or [-4, 6] or [-5, 7] or [-6, 8] …
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You’re going insane and failing because the people who told you that you can make money trading 1 minute charts lied to you.
Trading is very hard and even the best traders struggle to generate 20-30% consistently, much less 1000% lol. You need to reset your expectations and forget all of the chart trading nonsense.
Trading is very hard and even the best traders struggle to generate 20-30% consistently, much less 1000% lol. You need to reset your expectations and forget all of the chart trading nonsense.
What happens when you are at 80% daily max of your loss from the previous trade? Then you put on another trade because you have not hit 100%.
Is the new loss limit 20% the new trade of your max loss or is it 100% of a trade? And if it happens you end up with 180% of max loss.
I.e. how will you account for the difference between max loss per trade and daily loss maximum?
Is the new loss limit 20% the new trade of your max loss or is it 100% of a trade? And if it happens you end up with 180% of max loss.
I.e. how will you account for the difference between max loss per trade and daily loss maximum?
The only people who told me anything are me and myself.
Some futures like ZN or ES are liquid enough to be tradable and structured on the 1min.
1min is the same as hourly or daily or weekly.
They all mean revert on the shorter term and trend on the longer term.