2024 Stock Picks

I hate commercials on TV. If I'm watching something, the second one comes on, I switch the channel until I land on a channel that isn't on a commercial break. The problem is, they all seem to be in sync with their commercial breaks. And since I mainly flip through news channels, because of their location on the dial, I frequently land on C-Span 1 or 2.

"Where are you going with this Van?"

Last week I caught the Commandant of the Marine Corp doing a 90 minute interview with the Brookings Institute. He did a Q&A at the end with the room, lots of very bright recent college grads doing internships at various DC think-tanks.

C-Span segments like this, are gold for professional and amateur investors alike. This 4-star general went in depth about China/Taiwan. And where we currently stand from a militarily readiness point of view. I won't go over the range of things discussed, I'm sure its available on C-Span's website for anyone that cares, but I did take away one little tidbit.

Know what the ONE thing is that "keeps him up at night?" The logistics that would be required to position our strategic assets in theater if China did in fact initiate blockades etc.on Taiwan in advance of a larger military move. He said... "We don't have an answer." It's a big deal.

So for whatever it's worth, West Coast logistic and shipping companies might be worth a look. Especially those that are under contract to the U.S. government under the merchant marine umbrella. We'll be moving a lot of equipment to places like the Philippines and Okinawa just to name a few, and those merchant marine contracts are lucrative gravy trains for the shippers, especially before any shooting starts.

Just a little out loud thinking on my part if things do in fact start to get a little "warmer" over there. You long term outlook pro PM's out there do with it what you want. ;)
~Van
 
Abbott Labs opened at $103.78. That's a good price. It's $104.25 now, odds are it will drop back a little, but earnings are on 7/18. It should head above $110 pretty soon and unless they really disappoint on earnings, I don't see much downside risk.
Earnings tomorrow for Abbott.

The only thing that's holding this stock down is that stupid lawsuit, but the way I see it, until that thing is finalized, it's already priced into the stock. Nothing they can say on this CC will change anything regarding the lawsuit. And one has to assume that WS has pretty much assumed the lawsuit won't go well. Do they ever against companies like this? No. And it's in Missouri, which of course is one of the worst states to be sued in. So Wall Street knows all that.

My take, as long as they don't disappoint, and hopefully raise 2024 guidance a little, this thing should blast off and then establish a new level where it can flounder worrying about the lawsuit.

ABT---> $105.33 (+$2.57)
 
For a more speculative stock with a slightly higher risk, but with the potential for a huge reward is Oddity Tech Ltd.

ODD---> $41

It's an Israeli tech company that is using AI to basically replace the cosmetic counter of the old school dept stores. Those were very lucrative, because women depended on them and the expertise of the staff, to sell them the makeup's that worked for them. It's a science in a way, and one thing that will never change, women want to look their best. Makeup is an art.

So this company does that, all virtually. It must be working too, because the user base is growing like gang-busters. It ipo'd last summer, and there was a recent dilution that seemed to get absorbed pretty well. And here's the best part, as IPO's go... this one actually makes money.

I misspoke.... that was not the best part. This is the best part. I listened to the cc, and I also saw the ceo give an interview... and I like her a lot. She is smart and hard charging. All business and no bs. Straight shooter. I think she's 40.... so she's gonna make something of this company.

The stock got as low as $25. The ipo was around $50. Do your own dd as always.... because it's thinly traded so it can certainly drop $5 over a few bad sessions, but I have a feeling at their next quarterly report, this thing is gonna explode up.

__________________________________________________________

Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States and internationally. It serves consumers worldwide through its AI-driven online platform, which uses data science, machine learning, and computer vision capabilities to identify consumer needs, and develop solutions in the form of beauty and wellness products. The company sells beauty, hair, and skin products under the IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild brands. In addition, it operates ODDITY LABS, a biotechnology center, which develops various ingredients, including novel molecules, probiotics, and peptides for beauty and wellness products. Oddity Tech Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.

ODD is at $43
Earnings on 8/7

30% of the float is short, probably for good reason. Oppenheimer said this earlier this week regarding ULTA Beauty


In recent weeks, Oppenheimer has seen continued aggressive promotions from Ulta, which suggests to the firm ongoing challenges and potential risks to company’s fiscal 2024 guidance. The firm trimmed estimates for both fiscal 2024 and 2025 to reflect more conservative comp growth assumptions and the impact “of what appears to be an incrementally more promotional backdrop.” Opco finds it unclear what management has built into guidance on the promotional front but its tracking of promotions suggests “fairly aggressive efforts” on a year-over-year basis


If this company, Oddity Tech doesn't come in with incredible results, it'll see the $20's. Too risky to short however, with 30% of the float short, and 70% of the shares held by just a few players. Those insiders have had the entire month of July to sell above $40 and yet its been creeping up. I doubt the high it reached yesterday was any type of squeeze with 7.5MM million shares short on a float of 25MM and the 10 day average volume only about 350K.

Tough call on this one. Who knows, they may have a great quarter, the last one was off the charts, but it has only been trading for one year (almost to the day). If the quarter does defy the odds and comes in strong, this thing will burn the shorts bad.
 
Earnings tomorrow for Abbott.

The only thing that's holding this stock down is that stupid lawsuit, but the way I see it, until that thing is finalized, it's already priced into the stock. Nothing they can say on this CC will change anything regarding the lawsuit. And one has to assume that WS has pretty much assumed the lawsuit won't go well. Do they ever against companies like this? No. And it's in Missouri, which of course is one of the worst states to be sued in. So Wall Street knows all that.

My take, as long as they don't disappoint, and hopefully raise 2024 guidance a little, this thing should blast off and then establish a new level where it can flounder worrying about the lawsuit.

ABT---> $105.33 (+$2.57)
upload_2024-7-18_9-53-1.jpeg
 
Abbott CEO on CNBC.
He looks like he's 18 years old lol.

$104 and trying... :rolleyes:

10% organic growth on a $178B company... I mean... if this thing doesn't go up--- I quit.
 
Hey @vanzandt, what's your take (if you have any) on Starbucks and Nike?

Best trading to you
If I had to pick between the two, it would be SBUX.
Nike is dead money for awhile, SBUX is the type of stock that could break some kind of news, and gap up 15% out of the blue. It depends on your time-frame, I don't think I'd buy NKE though. Starbux... ahhhh... you never know, it could drop a surprise out of the blue. I didn't realize they had so much debt. Earnings are on the 30th, I'd probably wait and see what they have to say, I doubt they'll miss, buy they may guide down again.
 
If I had to pick between the two, it would be SBUX.
Nike is dead money for awhile, SBUX is the type of stock that could break some kind of news, and gap up 15% out of the blue. It depends on your time-frame, I don't think I'd buy NKE though. Starbux... ahhhh... you never know, it could drop a surprise out of the blue. I didn't realize they had so much debt. Earnings are on the 30th, I'd probably wait and see what they have to say, I doubt they'll miss, buy they may guide down again.
OK, thanks, much appreciated :thumbsup:
 
Here's a new one for ya'll. Very thinly traded. I played it long a few times last year, did ok, but I've watched it ever since. They had a lousy report last quarter, and the stock has taken a 20% hit.

It's pretty well run from a financial standpoint, the balance sheet is solid. No debt. But it's sensitive to millenial spending habits. I have never been in one, but just looking at them, their menu and their ambiance, they look pretty cool. They serve alcohol too. Always a plus.

The chart looks horrible and its hitting new lows as I type, but at $24.50 it might be worth a look. Forward multiple of 13ish.

CHUY---> $24.50

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chuy's
https://investor.chuys.com/

AND OF COURSE I DIDN'T OWN ANY!

CHUY---> $37.26 (+47.5%) :mad:

Acquired by Darden.
 
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