2024 Recession Bet?

[kmiklas]

Assuming a recession in 2024, what is the best position to secure?

I’d prefer a long market position in an ETF or something to both avoid short fees and diversify exposure.

Maybe a bond fund?

How would you bet on a recession?

 

[TheDawn]

Buy puts!! Buy VIX products like VVX, UVXY and etc. also would be good.

 

[Nine_Ender]

Assuming a recession in 2024, what is the best position to secure?

I’d prefer a long market position in an ETF or something to both avoid short fees and diversify exposure.

Maybe a bond fund?

How would you bet on a recession?

I'd bet that there is no recession in 2024. We were supposed to have one in 2023 but the significance of recent economic numbers is that the possibility of two negative quarters is about to expire. Yet we had many so called "experts" last year insisting we'd be in a recession summer 2023.

 

[mikeriley]

On Jan 2nd NQ closed at 10945

Friday it closed at 14332

I make my bets on the market and never financial labels.

 

[mervyn]

I definitely see a sharp downturn later this year, but since we were near a bear last year, recession of 2 consecutive negative GDP maybe hard to come by.

 

[kmiklas]

Assuming a Recession, what is the play?

The discussion of whether or not there will be a recession is a separate discussion.

What is the place to be if a recession hits?

 

[kmiklas]

Buy puts!! Buy VIX products like VVX, UVXY and etc. also would be good.

Won’t the commissions be heavy?
Why the VIX? Will volatility spike if a recession hits?
What contract date makes sense?

 

[maxinger]

Germany started recession a few days ago.

Germany dax broke the record high just a few days ago.

Recession means good news for long term stock investors?!?!?!?!?!

Recession means don't short the stocks?!?!?

 

[kmiklas]

Germany started recession a few days ago.

Germany dax broke the record high just a few days ago.

Recession means good news for long term stock investors?!?!?!?!?!

Any movement is good for “Investors” if they’re on the right side of the move!

 

[TheDawn]

Won’t the commissions be heavy?
Why the VIX? Will volatility spike if a recession hits?
What contract date makes sense?

I trade VIX products like VXX, UVXY and etc., not VIX itself. Commission is the same cuz they are traded like stocks.