2022 Mid-term election is over----Dems just don't realize it yet

I have to say for the record Fetterman has an auditory problem. His mental capacities, whatever one may think of them, are not impacted.

I'm going to have to disagree. I've seen many of his speeches, and if all he had was a problem with hearing, he wouldn't have said so many mind numbingly stupid things that border on incoherence.

This is just one of the many examples that occurred recently (ignore the tweet text)

 
All candidates should debate early and often in every race
Debates only help the candidate who is behind.This guy gets it

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Two weeks to go and of course the momentum is with the party out of power. Americans like split government. Tis the way. Republicans are over reading this as an indictment of democrats and democrats are just in denial.

My best guess right now…

House - 230 R
Senate - 52 R (this should be much higher)

I have to say the picture is lot cloudier today than it was a couple of weeks ago…
 
Meaning you believe it has gotten worse for R's in the last two weeks?

I don’t know. Like I said polls are coming out right now D +5 and R +4. Usually at this point there are some outliers but a pretty clear picture.

My stand stays that Americans tend to like divided government and it will be a good Election Day for republicans but how good I can’t say. Maybe big though.
 
I don’t know. Like I said polls are coming out right now D +5 and R +4. Usually at this point there are some outliers but a pretty clear picture.

My stand stays that Americans tend to like divided government and it will be a good Election Day for republicans but how good I can’t say. Maybe big though.

Once you have witnessed Joe Biden going before the nation and saying that the AFG withdrawal was "an outstanding success" and that "we are in the best economy ever" and that any problems that Americas are "just disinformation from the Ultra-Maga" you pretty much expect Joe to to declare victory after the election regardless of how it goes.

I can see the "at least we were able to preserve the democracy for now" shtick coming right up.

Now, as for Nancy and Mitch, hopefully they will both just get ready to go off somewhere and get a room together and disappear.
 
The current environment (fear of being labeled a bigot for voting conservative) makes polling very unreliable and betting markets will be a better predictor. Republican control of the Senate is at 70% odds on PredictIt vs. 55% 538.
 
This is the thing, the Trump effect causing republicans to shy away from polling has not shown up this year. Republicans and democrats are responding at near equal rates.

The current environment (fear of being labeled a bigot for voting conservative) makes polling very unreliable and betting markets will be a better predictor. Republican control of the Senate is at 70% odds on PredictIt vs. 55% 538.
 
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