2020 Election is Over----Dems just don't realize it yet.

TreeFrogTrader said:
Also - and this is sort of important- Pennsylvania is one of the states that is going to be subject to hand-to-hand legal combat over the sketchy ballots and late-arrival ballots. And dems are big on mail in and sketchy forms of voting so there is a risk factor there that works against Biden.

I have no trouble recognizing that Trump has a handful to deal with as far as trying to win and I have never stepped away from looking at some of the grim factors straight in the eye, with no denial. But looking at reality head on also shows that Joe is fucked if Trump takes PA or at least all bets are off for Joe then. The lefty media comforts themselves with the rather massive lead he has or had in the polls in PA but if there is a surprise in PA then that is where Joe's house of cards will begin to fall. I am not saying that will happen. Just sayin, anything flaky and bogus in the numbers in PA gets my attention bigtime.

That's going to be a long and bloody saga too in PA. It will take them days after the election to count votes and then the lawyerfest that goes with it.

Take home message: I would give my left nut to have polls be wrong in PA. Otherwise we become a colony of China.
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A tied 4-4 ruling by the US Supreme Court which allowed ballots not even postmarked and other ballots to be accepted several days after November 3, 2020. It is before the US Supreme Court and Judge Amy Coney Barrett now working, that tie ruling could be reversed. Democrat election officials asking Judge Amy Coney Barrett to recuse herself. I hope she ignores them. This is too important an election for a handful of partisan election officials to change the rules and remove safeguards to having fair and clean elections.
 
TreeFrogTrader said:
Also - and this is sort of important- Pennsylvania is one of the states that is going to be subject to hand-to-hand legal combat over the sketchy ballots and late-arrival ballots. And dems are big on mail in and sketchy forms of voting so there is a risk factor there that works against Biden.

I have no trouble recognizing that Trump has a handful to deal with as far as trying to win and I have never stepped away from looking at some of the grim factors straight in the eye, with no denial. But looking at reality head on also shows that Joe is fucked if Trump takes PA or at least all bets are off for Joe then. The lefty media comforts themselves with the rather massive lead he has or had in the polls in PA but if there is a surprise in PA then that is where Joe's house of cards will begin to fall. I am not saying that will happen. Just sayin, anything flaky and bogus in the numbers in PA gets my attention bigtime.

That's going to be a long and bloody saga too in PA. It will take them days after the election to count votes and then the lawyerfest that goes with it.

Take home message: I would give my left nut to have polls be wrong in PA. Otherwise we become a colony of China.
More...
Ha!
From waaaay back in May:

vanzandt said:
No way. Trump will landslide PA if your boy Biden isn't the nominee. And if by some miracle Biden is, you can expect daily MAGA rallies across the entire state next summer. Trump will go door to door himself if he has to to win PA.

Philly and the surrounding areas will always go left... thats a given. Other than that... Pennsylvanians don't give a fuck about political correctness and snowflakes with hurt feelings crying over words. They care about their homes, their kid's futures, their sports, and their beer. Thats it. Salt of the earth them folks.
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-the oracle of et politics. ;)
 
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday, shows that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-seven percent (47%) disapprove.
 
White House Watch
Trump 48%, Biden 47%
Wednesday, October 28, 2020


President Trump has seesawed back into a one-point lead over Democrat Joe Biden in Rasmussen Reports’ daily White House Watch survey.

The latest national telephone and online survey finds Trump edging Biden 48% to 47% among Likely U.S. Voters. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
 
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday, shows that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-seven percent (47%) disapprove.
 
Tom Del Beccaro: A Trump 'surprise' victory is in the offing -- here are the 10 tea leaves pointing to it
https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/trump-surprise-victory-tom-del-beccaro
===In 2016, Pennsylvania and its 20 Electoral College votes were key to President Trump’s victory. He won Pennsylvania by a slim 44,292 votes out of nearly 6 million. That November, the Democrats had nearly a 900,000 voter registration advantage over the Republicans. That number is now down to a 700,000 registration advantage and has narrowed by 100,000 in the last year.
===Florida In 2008, Democrats held nearly a 700,000 voter registration advantage and Barack Obama carried the state by 236,148 votes. By 2012 that advantage slipped to 558,272 registrations and Obama won there by 74,309 votes.
In 2016, Democrats had a 327,483 registration advantage and Trump carried the state by 112,991 votes.
Now the Democrats' voter registration advantage is down nearly 200,000 to just a 134,242 lead, which Politico called a “historic low.”
===Trump could well receive a historic level of support from Latino Voters in 2020. In Florida, a NBC/Marist poll had Trump leading among Latinos 50% to 46% over Biden, whereas, in 2016, Hillary won among Latinos in Florida 62% to 35%. That would be a 15% swing toward Trump if it held up on Election Day.
===In September, according to polling done by Rasmussen, Trump’s approval rating among African Americans reached 45%. Keep in mind that President Trump only received 8% of the Black vote in 2016. If Trump received just 16% of the Black vote this November, let alone an even higher number, that would all but secure states like Michigan for Trump
===National polling from Pew Research indicates that “55% of voters who plan to cast their ballot in person before Election Day support Biden, compared to 40% who support President Trump.” However, in the key battleground states of Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin the early voting indicates that “registered Republicans are returning ballots at about the same rate as registered Democrats.” The parties are even in Michigan, Democrats up 2% in Wisconsin and the Republicans up 2% in Ohio.
===A new Gallup poll shows that 56% of Americans say they are better off now than they were four years ago.
===According to Gallup, by the end of September, when the polling firm asked voters this question, “In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an independent?” the answer came back as follows: 28% said Republican, 27% said Democrat and 42% said independent.
That is meaningful because many of the polls giving Biden the lead appear to be sampling more Democrats than Republicans – sometimes by a wide margin. Also, in 2016, Gallup had Democrats up 32% to 27% but, as we know, Trump still won.
===Gallup poll shows only 40% of Americans think Biden will win the election; 56% predict a Trump victory.”
 
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