2018 MidTerm Trends

Playbook: “This hasn’t gotten a ton of attention outside of the Capitol, but if Democrats win either chamber of Congress they’d be able to get their hands on President Trump’s tax returns. This is something that key GOP players on the Hill are well aware of.”
 
Lauren Arthur (D) won a Missouri state senate seat in the Kansas City suburbs by 19 points, in a district which backed both Donald Trump and Mitt Romney by 4 points, the Washington Post reports.

Arthur’s victory is the 42nd red-to-blue flip in state legislative races since the inauguration of President Trump.
 
exGOP,

You seem keen on the state of affairs in US politics and are looking, with interest, on influencing the mid-term elections.

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Are you keen on the state of affairs in US politics and looking, with interest, to influence the mid-term elections?
 
A new ABC News-Washington Post poll finds Democratic House candidates now lead their Republican opponents nationally by 52% to 38% among registered voters — a lead that holds up across a range of likely voter models.

The Democrats’ advantage reflects President Trump’s broad unpopularit: 36% of Americans approve of his job performance, the lowest approval rating for a president heading into his first midterms in polling dating to 1954.

A new USA Today/Suffolk poll finds Democrats leading 50% to 39%.

Meanwhile, a new Emerson College poll finds Democrats leading 52% to 39% and a new IBD/TIPP poll finds Democrats ahead 50% to 39%.
 
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