2014: The Battle for Survival

Period Update for March (03/05/2016 - 04/02/2016) (4 weeks)

Forgettable month, down 37K (14%).

Somehow managed to make what would have been a boring month remarkable. Much of that happened on the 15th of March. Shorted a stock at 56,covered at 51, making 10k, and when I saw it at 50 thought it was overdone, bought then. As I saw it continue downward, shut off my machine and doubled down again and again in stocks and options, exiting with the stock at about 36. You probably know what stock it was. Lost 44K on the stock, and another 26k on the option. Another revenge trade on the same with size paired the loss by 27K. At the end of the day, I realised I had to do something urgent as I was afraid what might happen the next time. Quickly signed up for a remote server and ported my system out of my house - and limiting greatly ability to turn it off. Hopefully this will be the last I write of this uncontrolled impulse to shut down system and go on a tilt.

Code:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Opening Balance:   261,450
Net loss for period   (36,712)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance:   224,736

For the Thread Year 2016 (1/1/2016 - 4/2/2016)
Opening Balance:  203,449
Net gain    31,287 (Up 15%)
Cash Withdrawal  (10,000)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance  224,736
----------------------
TRADES

TYPE Exit Date/Time P/L

STOCK 2016-03-08-15-48-07 -5324.8
STOCK 2016-03-08-10-11-26 2151.8
OPTION 2016-03-09-13-47-56 115.4
STOCK 2016-03-09-12-20-27 820.8
OPTION 2016-03-09-13-35-34 1366.7
STOCK 2016-03-10-11-19-58 2539.2
STOCK 2016-03-10-12-41-14 3173.6
STOCK 2016-03-10-15-47-08 -1416.9
STOCK 2016-03-14-08-44-44 -5587.5
STOCK 2016-03-14-15-57-01 -7825.4
STOCK 2016-03-14-11-56-30 711.8
STOCK 2016-03-15-09-39-16 10189.6
STOCK 2016-03-15-09-46-41 589
STOCK 2016-03-15-10-51-37 -123.6
STOCK 2016-03-15-12-05-16 -44151
STOCK 2016-03-15-10-51-16 1338.5
OPTION 2016-03-15-10-38-34 1955.7
OPTION 2016-03-15-12-05-49 -25656.3
OPTION 2016-03-15-15-38-34 27591.8
STOCK 2016-03-16-13-47-20 2931.9
OPTION 2016-03-16-14-08-19 10440.4
OPTION 2016-03-16-10-06-52 -2984.8
STOCK 2016-03-16-15-49-31 -109.6
STOCK 2016-03-17-10-33-29 3678.6
STOCK 2016-03-17-10-25-12 641.6
OPTION 2016-03-17-10-37-41 -2656.3
STOCK 2016-03-17-15-49-08 -596.3
STOCK 2016-03-17-10-54-00 2394
STOCK 2016-03-17-15-55-13 1051.6
OPTION 2016-03-18-10-40-26 -16683.2
OPTION 2016-03-18-10-58-47 -14492.9
STOCK 2016-03-18-15-41-41 -545.6
OPTION 2016-03-18-15-03-24 -3634.4
OPTION 2016-03-18-15-18-19 -1110.5
OPTION 2016-03-18-15-38-24 2409.9
STOCK 2016-03-18-14-28-42 3537.2
STOCK 2016-03-18-14-00-42 7061.7
OPTION 2016-03-21-15-20-56 538.1
OPTION 2016-03-21-15-15-56 7598.8
STOCK 2016-03-21-09-53-20 156.1
STOCK 2016-03-22-11-48-54 -6352.3
OPTION 2016-03-22-10-47-06 -7309.3
OPTION 2016-03-22-11-33-55 -7081.8
STOCK 2016-03-22-15-52-26 -4253.4
STOCK 2016-03-23-09-34-51 -2197
OPTION 2016-03-23-09-53-42 -5375
OPTION 2016-03-23-10-58-41 12058.2
STOCK 2016-03-24-11-00-15 3919.7
STOCK 2016-03-24-15-26-00 4077.9
STOCK 2016-03-28-09-35-43 1108.4
STOCK 2016-03-28-11-56-20 -1864.3
STOCK 2016-03-28-11-21-50 3534.6
OPTION 2016-03-28-15-51-12 -4051.4
STOCK 2016-03-28-15-55-18 342.4
STOCK 2016-03-28-15-52-09 -352.6
STOCK 2016-03-29-10-28-17 1994.2
OPTION 2016-03-29-10-27-43 4465.3
OPTION 2016-03-29-11-09-40 -275.3
STOCK 2016-03-30-09-39-05 3876.1
STOCK 2016-03-30-11-48-40 -16.6
STOCK 2016-03-30-11-47-51 282.8
STOCK 2016-03-31-10-08-57 4567.1
STOCK 2016-04-01-11-41-05 -2424.7
OPTION 2016-04-01-11-11-59 -7641.1
OPTION 2016-04-01-12-33-26 10167.9
50 to 36!? your single biggest flaw is risk management, or the lack there of

if you considered the risk/reward before getting into a trade, last month wouldn't have ended in a loss

Well he traded VRX...so the risk management wasn't really there...but this is what I respect about Neke...he puts it out there for everyone to see...both his defeats and his victories...Most people on here just post their wins and hide their losses. So really...fk all of you fakers out there. You got my respect Neke.
 
If you keep your trading system, trading style, and trading methodology, but drop pharmaceuticals from your list of stocks to trade, I think you might find yourself better off in the long run. I dropped pharmaceuticals from my stocks years ago when I discovered they were some of my biggest losses.
 
Period Update for April (04/02/2016 - 04/30/2016) (4 weeks)

Great month, up 94k (42%).

Delighted to come back strong after a disastrous month of March. Was helped greatly by the earnings season throwing up opportunities here and there. I am particularly encouraged by the result of my decision to remote host my system. In addition to cutting out the tendency to shut down system and revenge trade, I am pleased by the system performance and availability - not a single system issue (internet outage, memory leak, frozen app etc).

The first week was bad (-16K), bottoming early the following week with about 203K. Worked my way up with a string of good trades, boosted by my option acceleration model. My revised acceleration table is listed below. Have decided to make all qualifying trades medium conviction (MC) since it was hard to get anything matching the stringent conditions for HC. So as the table shows, at $203K, option size was 4% (or $8K - level 1), while at this time (level 5), I could stake 11% of account (or about $35K) on an option position. For medium conviction trades, I will max out at 25% of account - a level I believe is well below the optimal fraction for my qualifying trades. I understand, one should never go beyond that.

Code:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Opening Balance:                	224,736
Net gain for period 		         94,217
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance:                   		318,953


For the Thread Year 2016 (1/1/2016 - 4/30/2016)

Opening Balance:                       203,449
Net gain		    	       125,504 (Up 62%)
Cash Withdrawal			       (10,000)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance			       318,953
----------------------

TRADES

TYPE	Exit Date/Time		P/L

OPTION	2016-04-04-15-37-02	1187.3
OPTION	2016-04-04-14-56-43	-1021
OPTION	2016-04-05-10-18-37	-5641.1
STOCK	2016-04-05-15-39-27	1177.6
OPTION	2016-04-05-12-16-46	-6441.8
OPTION	2016-04-05-15-57-39	5067
STOCK	2016-04-05-12-17-42	-2766.6
STOCK	2016-04-06-10-37-19	915.9
OPTION	2016-04-06-15-35-18	-9153.1
STOCK	2016-04-11-15-32-50	-2376.9
OPTION	2016-04-11-15-58-08	-2153.8
STOCK	2016-04-11-15-49-16	-222.3
STOCK	2016-04-11-15-25-04	880.7
STOCK	2016-04-12-11-00-53	21.9
STOCK	2016-04-12-12-17-27	2272.8
OPTION	2016-04-12-14-20-46	9953.8
STOCK	2016-04-12-15-55-17	1725.5
STOCK	2016-04-13-10-14-55	235.6
OPTION	2016-04-13-10-14-39	-81.6
STOCK	2016-04-13-14-55-54	536.1
OPTION	2016-04-13-14-53-15	7090.6
STOCK	2016-04-13-15-54-12	-635
STOCK	2016-04-13-15-25-58	1454.2
OPTION	2016-04-13-12-07-35	-2597.2
OPTION	2016-04-13-15-25-34	3415.4
STOCK	2016-04-14-09-59-50	7178.7
OPTION	2016-04-14-14-35-04	-1497.7
STOCK	2016-04-15-09-37-24	-721.6
STOCK	2016-04-15-11-56-54	1551.8
STOCK	2016-04-15-10-55-11	936.7
STOCK	2016-04-18-10-03-49	3992.4
STOCK	2016-04-18-12-04-44	-752.3
STOCK	2016-04-19-11-09-28	3014.4
STOCK	2016-04-19-15-35-07	-1432.3
OPTION	2016-04-19-15-33-37	13211.1
OPTION	2016-04-19-11-45-02	6201.3
OPTION	2016-04-19-15-54-27	-2375
OPTION	2016-04-20-11-06-34	7683.7
STOCK	2016-04-21-15-09-20	4496
OPTION	2016-04-21-12-16-04	19426.2
OPTION	2016-04-21-15-50-30	-7135.9
STOCK	2016-04-21-11-39-57	-1076.8
STOCK	2016-04-21-11-38-38	373.2
STOCK	2016-04-21-15-01-04	-631.9
OPTION	2016-04-22-15-35-27	4023.6
OPTION	2016-04-22-10-04-54	5819.5
OPTION	2016-04-22-11-37-15	11564.8
STOCK	2016-04-22-15-36-42	577.4
OPTION	2016-04-22-15-38-35	524.7
STOCK	2016-04-25-10-14-25	-625.6
STOCK	2016-04-25-15-33-32	1001.9
STOCK	2016-04-26-11-48-06	-5267.9
OPTION	2016-04-26-11-24-19	-17936.9
OPTION	2016-04-26-15-51-38	-1489.7
STOCK	2016-04-26-15-41-48	2289.2
STOCK	2016-04-26-15-51-08	1402.4
STOCK	2016-04-27-11-09-33	-2713.4
OPTION	2016-04-27-10-10-34	-1956
OPTION	2016-04-27-15-18-01	20751
OPTION	2016-04-27-15-53-41	2375
STOCK	2016-04-27-15-20-53	2488.9
STOCK	2016-04-28-11-27-38	3109.7
STOCK	2016-04-28-15-55-22	-1679.9
STOCK	2016-04-28-14-26-35	4329.8
STOCK	2016-04-28-09-42-11	732.9
STOCK	2016-04-29-15-01-12	-5733.8
OPTION	2016-04-29-10-10-25	-324.4
STOCK	2016-04-29-10-35-43	3671.7
STOCK	2016-04-29-10-21-46	4905.8
OPTION	2016-04-29-15-49-32	3284.2
STOCK	2016-04-29-15-16-38	830.7
STOCK	2016-04-29-15-16-04	1295.1
STOCK	2016-04-29-15-34-52	1679.5



Option Levels for MC trades

lvl	MinBal	Perc	 
0      <200000	0.02	
1	200000  0.04    
2	210970  0.05   
3	226266  0.07    
4	248066  0.09    
5	280061  0.11     
6	328910  0.15  
7	407608  0.19  
8	544199  0.25
 

Attachments

  • ejournbalance.PNG
    ejournbalance.PNG
    11.5 KB · Views: 53
Period Update for April (04/02/2016 - 04/30/2016) (4 weeks)

Great month, up 94k (42%).

Delighted to come back strong after a disastrous month of March. Was helped greatly by the earnings season throwing up opportunities here and there. I am particularly encouraged by the result of my decision to remote host my system. In addition to cutting out the tendency to shut down system and revenge trade, I am pleased by the system performance and availability - not a single system issue (internet outage, memory leak, frozen app etc).

[/code]

Congrats Neke. I highlighted one section that I suggest you print out and read every single night before going to bed and every morning you wake up. Also post it above your screens. You went to full automation for a reason and have stats that you used to create it so let it work!
 
Period Update for April (04/02/2016 - 04/30/2016) (4 weeks)

Great month, up 94k (42%).

Delighted to come back strong after a disastrous month of March. Was helped greatly by the earnings season throwing up opportunities here and there. I am particularly encouraged by the result of my decision to remote host my system. In addition to cutting out the tendency to shut down system and revenge trade, I am pleased by the system performance and availability - not a single system issue (internet outage, memory leak, frozen app etc).

The first week was bad (-16K), bottoming early the following week with about 203K. Worked my way up with a string of good trades, boosted by my option acceleration model. My revised acceleration table is listed below. Have decided to make all qualifying trades medium conviction (MC) since it was hard to get anything matching the stringent conditions for HC. So as the table shows, at $203K, option size was 4% (or $8K - level 1), while at this time (level 5), I could stake 11% of account (or about $35K) on an option position. For medium conviction trades, I will max out at 25% of account - a level I believe is well below the optimal fraction for my qualifying trades. I understand, one should never go beyond that.

Code:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Opening Balance:                    224,736
Net gain for period                  94,217
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance:                           318,953


For the Thread Year 2016 (1/1/2016 - 4/30/2016)

Opening Balance:                       203,449
Net gain                       125,504 (Up 62%)
Cash Withdrawal                   (10,000)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance                   318,953
----------------------

TRADES

TYPE    Exit Date/Time        P/L

OPTION    2016-04-04-15-37-02    1187.3
OPTION    2016-04-04-14-56-43    -1021
OPTION    2016-04-05-10-18-37    -5641.1
STOCK    2016-04-05-15-39-27    1177.6
OPTION    2016-04-05-12-16-46    -6441.8
OPTION    2016-04-05-15-57-39    5067
STOCK    2016-04-05-12-17-42    -2766.6
STOCK    2016-04-06-10-37-19    915.9
OPTION    2016-04-06-15-35-18    -9153.1
STOCK    2016-04-11-15-32-50    -2376.9
OPTION    2016-04-11-15-58-08    -2153.8
STOCK    2016-04-11-15-49-16    -222.3
STOCK    2016-04-11-15-25-04    880.7
STOCK    2016-04-12-11-00-53    21.9
STOCK    2016-04-12-12-17-27    2272.8
OPTION    2016-04-12-14-20-46    9953.8
STOCK    2016-04-12-15-55-17    1725.5
STOCK    2016-04-13-10-14-55    235.6
OPTION    2016-04-13-10-14-39    -81.6
STOCK    2016-04-13-14-55-54    536.1
OPTION    2016-04-13-14-53-15    7090.6
STOCK    2016-04-13-15-54-12    -635
STOCK    2016-04-13-15-25-58    1454.2
OPTION    2016-04-13-12-07-35    -2597.2
OPTION    2016-04-13-15-25-34    3415.4
STOCK    2016-04-14-09-59-50    7178.7
OPTION    2016-04-14-14-35-04    -1497.7
STOCK    2016-04-15-09-37-24    -721.6
STOCK    2016-04-15-11-56-54    1551.8
STOCK    2016-04-15-10-55-11    936.7
STOCK    2016-04-18-10-03-49    3992.4
STOCK    2016-04-18-12-04-44    -752.3
STOCK    2016-04-19-11-09-28    3014.4
STOCK    2016-04-19-15-35-07    -1432.3
OPTION    2016-04-19-15-33-37    13211.1
OPTION    2016-04-19-11-45-02    6201.3
OPTION    2016-04-19-15-54-27    -2375
OPTION    2016-04-20-11-06-34    7683.7
STOCK    2016-04-21-15-09-20    4496
OPTION    2016-04-21-12-16-04    19426.2
OPTION    2016-04-21-15-50-30    -7135.9
STOCK    2016-04-21-11-39-57    -1076.8
STOCK    2016-04-21-11-38-38    373.2
STOCK    2016-04-21-15-01-04    -631.9
OPTION    2016-04-22-15-35-27    4023.6
OPTION    2016-04-22-10-04-54    5819.5
OPTION    2016-04-22-11-37-15    11564.8
STOCK    2016-04-22-15-36-42    577.4
OPTION    2016-04-22-15-38-35    524.7
STOCK    2016-04-25-10-14-25    -625.6
STOCK    2016-04-25-15-33-32    1001.9
STOCK    2016-04-26-11-48-06    -5267.9
OPTION    2016-04-26-11-24-19    -17936.9
OPTION    2016-04-26-15-51-38    -1489.7
STOCK    2016-04-26-15-41-48    2289.2
STOCK    2016-04-26-15-51-08    1402.4
STOCK    2016-04-27-11-09-33    -2713.4
OPTION    2016-04-27-10-10-34    -1956
OPTION    2016-04-27-15-18-01    20751
OPTION    2016-04-27-15-53-41    2375
STOCK    2016-04-27-15-20-53    2488.9
STOCK    2016-04-28-11-27-38    3109.7
STOCK    2016-04-28-15-55-22    -1679.9
STOCK    2016-04-28-14-26-35    4329.8
STOCK    2016-04-28-09-42-11    732.9
STOCK    2016-04-29-15-01-12    -5733.8
OPTION    2016-04-29-10-10-25    -324.4
STOCK    2016-04-29-10-35-43    3671.7
STOCK    2016-04-29-10-21-46    4905.8
OPTION    2016-04-29-15-49-32    3284.2
STOCK    2016-04-29-15-16-38    830.7
STOCK    2016-04-29-15-16-04    1295.1
STOCK    2016-04-29-15-34-52    1679.5



Option Levels for MC trades

lvl    MinBal    Perc    
0      <200000    0.02   
1    200000  0.04   
2    210970  0.05  
3    226266  0.07   
4    248066  0.09   
5    280061  0.11    
6    328910  0.15 
7    407608  0.19 
8    544199  0.25

Neke, do you trade momentum or mean reversion? Just curious.
 
Notice how all the people come out and say Neke has no risk management when he loses money. But when he has a big month everything is crickets.

Neke, you have balls of steel. Congrats on the great performance.
 
Neke, I´ve been folowing your post since you did your first journal. Let me start by saying, hell of a good job.
One thing that i noticed is that you almost breakeven in stock trading vs options trading. I mean, you almost dont win nothiong trading stocks. Wouldnt be best to just trade the options, that seems that your system is better at?

best regards man
 
Back
Top