DAMN impressive.
2014: The Battle for Survival
- Thread starter neke
- Start date
DAMN impressive.
I imagine he ain't doing it for his viewers.
I need to correct myself, I shouldn't rely on my memory alone anymore. So apparently Neke is still doing fine by the annual returns, it is just this Nov to Nov stretch what we would like to forget about:
1. In the new century, years of success.
2. 2010-2012, 3 years of losses.
3. 2013 up 54%.
4. 2014 up 195%
5. 2015 YTD up 21%
My bad about forgetting 2013 being a good year.
1. In the new century, years of success.
2. 2010-2012, 3 years of losses.
3. 2013 up 54%.
4. 2014 up 195%
5. 2015 YTD up 21%
My bad about forgetting 2013 being a good year.
I assume the APIs are written in Java? and they'd contain instructions for checking market or stock condition(s). If the condition is right, then the APIs would send in purchase order(s)?
Please tell what I need to set up in the "APIs" trading platform, so the TD server would know there's something going on in my account (an API that actively monitors the market condition, and ready to send in order). Thanks
Period Update for final period 12/05/2015 - 12/31/2015 (4 weeks)
Sad way to end the year, down 43K (17%) for the month. Continued the downslide that started last month.
Glad the year is over. Barely up (10K, 4%) for the year. The biggest gainers were my broker (87K commission) and the market makers (payed a staggering $11,581,000 in option premiums on entry. Assuming even 2-10% of premium is round-trip slippage, that amounts to $230K - $1.2m cost. That is scaring the crap out of me now!)
Looking for better selectivity next year.
Happy New Year everyone.
Sad way to end the year, down 43K (17%) for the month. Continued the downslide that started last month.
Glad the year is over. Barely up (10K, 4%) for the year. The biggest gainers were my broker (87K commission) and the market makers (payed a staggering $11,581,000 in option premiums on entry. Assuming even 2-10% of premium is round-trip slippage, that amounts to $230K - $1.2m cost. That is scaring the crap out of me now!)
Looking for better selectivity next year.
Happy New Year everyone.
Code:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Opening Balance: 250,520
Net gain for period 43,080
Cash Withdrawal (4,000)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance: 203,449
For the Thread Year 2015 (1/3/2015 - 1/1/2016)
Opening Balance: 256,099
Net gain 10,350 (Up 4%)
Cash Withdrawal (63,000)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance 203,449
----------------------
TRADES
TYPE Exit Date/Time P/L
STOCK 2015-12-07-11-13-29 -9561.3
OPTION 2015-12-07-11-13-03 -8352
STOCK 2015-12-07-15-49-06 -2177.3
STOCK 2015-12-07-15-31-22 12.5
STOCK 2015-12-07-15-39-43 -3701.8
STOCK 2015-12-07-10-20-31 871.8
STOCK 2015-12-07-15-19-54 491.7
STOCK 2015-12-08-15-53-08 2545.3
OPTION 2015-12-08-15-54-55 7588.5
OPTION 2015-12-08-10-58-11 5963.5
OPTION 2015-12-08-15-31-10 3758
STOCK 2015-12-08-11-01-00 2096.6
OPTION 2015-12-09-11-19-15 9403.2
STOCK 2015-12-09-10-32-22 2326.1
STOCK 2015-12-09-11-11-26 -3438
OPTION 2015-12-09-10-10-26 63.3
OPTION 2015-12-09-15-35-59 -15085.8
STOCK 2015-12-09-15-36-51 -9884.4
STOCK 2015-12-09-15-38-11 15.7
OPTION 2015-12-09-15-31-05 -376.5
STOCK 2015-12-09-15-38-49 -1856.8
OPTION 2015-12-09-15-53-31 -1582.5
STOCK 2015-12-10-11-03-08 1120.4
STOCK 2015-12-10-14-45-27 1096.4
OPTION 2015-12-11-11-34-36 -3332.5
OPTION 2015-12-11-15-50-00 -6618.5
STOCK 2015-12-11-11-36-26 1.799999
STOCK 2015-12-11-10-33-44 945
OPTION 2015-12-11-09-54-00 -428.4
STOCK 2015-12-11-15-37-56 -2397.5
STOCK 2015-12-11-15-40-16 -596.7
STOCK 2015-12-11-15-39-50 -1376.2
STOCK 2015-12-14-15-49-16 -157.7
STOCK 2015-12-14-14-09-28 3563.9
OPTION 2015-12-14-11-12-45 11.1
OPTION 2015-12-14-15-47-09 3585.3
OPTION 2015-12-15-15-42-57 -4527.8
STOCK 2015-12-16-09-37-25 2457
OPTION 2015-12-16-09-31-23 -482.5
STOCK 2015-12-16-09-54-25 1054
STOCK 2015-12-17-15-32-15 -3970.9
STOCK 2015-12-17-15-29-49 -8600.2
OPTION 2015-12-17-15-33-10 -6729
STOCK 2015-12-17-15-35-40 885.3
OPTION 2015-12-17-15-31-25 -2007.2
OPTION 2015-12-17-15-34-55 -1331.4
STOCK 2015-12-18-10-49-28 2223.8
OPTION 2015-12-18-15-00-18 -3297.9
STOCK 2015-12-22-12-34-09 1852.7
STOCK 2015-12-22-12-07-23 -1077.1
OPTION 2015-12-22-12-33-53 -5133.6
STOCK 2015-12-23-10-31-46 -1241
STOCK 2015-12-23-15-48-30 -1074.6
STOCK 2015-12-23-10-49-04 1643.4
OPTION 2015-12-23-10-47-29 7327.8
OPTION 2015-12-23-10-04-55 -1150.7
STOCK 2015-12-28-11-02-37 -7696.3
STOCK 2015-12-28-11-27-43 3182.3
STOCK 2015-12-28-14-57-04 -1155
OPTION 2015-12-29-15-57-02 7180.9
STOCK 2015-12-30-10-52-54 145.8
STOCK 2015-12-30-16-01-19 -6073.6
OPTION 2015-12-31-11-45-42 2478.4
STOCK 2015-12-31-10-33-52 474
STOCK 2015-12-31-15-56-40 -1373.9
OPTION 2015-12-31-09-37-40 -1028.7
OPTION 2015-12-31-10-07-21 10300.1
STOCK 2015-12-31-15-57-03 -863.1Man, now I really have to go and jump of that bridge... 
For the last 14 months you lost like -50K, and the monthly returns are all over the place, showing absolute randomness. Possible reasons:
1. You used to have a profitable system, but the market changed and you couldn't adapt to it. Problem: right now you don't have a profitable system, and results are completely random. You haven't realized this and still live in the memory of old winning days.
2. Maybe one of your systems (I think you have 4) is actually profitable and in months when the circumstances are perfect for it, it makes good money, but the other bad systems even this good system's result out. Problem: You are unable to filter out which system is working and which one should be abandoned.
3. More systems of yours are actually profitable, but you suck at money management. Problem: Your losers are bigger than your winners. Also position sizing. Maybe revenge trading.
4. You do have profitable systems, but you are breaking your rules. Problem: Not being able to follow rules.
5. Some combination of the above. Problem: Freaking hard to figure it out and you ain't listening to good advice.
I don't think this is going to change in the long run unless you sit down and analyze the trades and figure out which one of the above problems applies and you are able to improve on it...
Good luck with that, and don't forget LUCK is a four letter word. No charge for the analysis and have a more profitable new year! Also you should cut back on size until you have at least 3 consecutive profitable months...
For the last 14 months you lost like -50K, and the monthly returns are all over the place, showing absolute randomness. Possible reasons:
1. You used to have a profitable system, but the market changed and you couldn't adapt to it. Problem: right now you don't have a profitable system, and results are completely random. You haven't realized this and still live in the memory of old winning days.
2. Maybe one of your systems (I think you have 4) is actually profitable and in months when the circumstances are perfect for it, it makes good money, but the other bad systems even this good system's result out. Problem: You are unable to filter out which system is working and which one should be abandoned.
3. More systems of yours are actually profitable, but you suck at money management. Problem: Your losers are bigger than your winners. Also position sizing. Maybe revenge trading.
4. You do have profitable systems, but you are breaking your rules. Problem: Not being able to follow rules.
5. Some combination of the above. Problem: Freaking hard to figure it out and you ain't listening to good advice.
I don't think this is going to change in the long run unless you sit down and analyze the trades and figure out which one of the above problems applies and you are able to improve on it...
Good luck with that, and don't forget LUCK is a four letter word. No charge for the analysis and have a more profitable new year! Also you should cut back on size until you have at least 3 consecutive profitable months...
Happy New Year
I wanted to thank you for consistently putting up these on the monthly even when you had bad months. What the people critiquing your style don't understand is to make the returns you are making you have to expose yourself to high risk. Despite those huge drawdown months you ended the year positive. The great Ackman who was up 40% last year is down 20% this year. That is the life of a trader.
I use to trade like Neke till the stress got to me. Now I'm a granny trader that scalps with equity. You people have no idea the amount of stress one has when taking up 1,000 contracts in a position with each point moving your account 5 figures red or green.
I wish I still had your balls. My ability to read price movement has progressed immensely. I just don't have the ability to put on the size I once did due to a few bad hits that sadly I wasn't able to shake off. Instead of 500 Apple contracts I trade with 2K shares on the equity.
May 2016 bring everyone health and wealth.
I wanted to thank you for consistently putting up these on the monthly even when you had bad months. What the people critiquing your style don't understand is to make the returns you are making you have to expose yourself to high risk. Despite those huge drawdown months you ended the year positive. The great Ackman who was up 40% last year is down 20% this year. That is the life of a trader.
I use to trade like Neke till the stress got to me. Now I'm a granny trader that scalps with equity. You people have no idea the amount of stress one has when taking up 1,000 contracts in a position with each point moving your account 5 figures red or green.
I wish I still had your balls. My ability to read price movement has progressed immensely. I just don't have the ability to put on the size I once did due to a few bad hits that sadly I wasn't able to shake off. Instead of 500 Apple contracts I trade with 2K shares on the equity.
May 2016 bring everyone health and wealth.
I agree, Psychology plays a huge part in Trading. -- not everybody can handle it. .
.
.It would be great...if by some magical fantasy way...we can remove the size/numbers/money with trading...and just focus on and think about the mechanics of the trade itself only. -- i'm guessing alot of people will have lesser stress and better performance.
,
Let's address point #2 first. He was up YTD like 115% by the end of August. And he managed to lose it down to +4%. So compared to that, hey you were still slightly positive by year's end is vanillia icecream at most. But if you look at that he lost -50K for the last 14 months, the picture is even darker.
Getting back to point #1. Let's play with numbers, shall we? Let's say he would be very happy with a 50% annual return. That is 4% monthly profits. I know he is not playing futures, but just humor me:
4% of 250K is 10K dollars. 10K/50=200 ES points. Playing with only 20 cars, that is only 10 ES points per month or 2.5 weekly. I am not saying it is easy to do consistently week in and week out, but the point is, you don't need to risk a lot to have fairly decent returns...
I totally understand where you are coming from. May i offer a suggestion? Turn off the column that shows p&l.