2014: The Battle for Survival

Don't know what you're talking about.

Well, I am glad the swings don't effect your health. Although I recall you mentioning earlier that it is hard to bear, so I am surprised you don't understand my inquiry...

Back in April you said:

Every draw-down is emotionally draining, but that is the nature of the work.

But if you can sleep fine, then all is well....
 
  • Like
Reactions: d08
This is exactly what Neke needs, a good analysis of his trades. Maybe Jajuanm is right and he shouldn't trade in uptrending markets.

My favorite example is Don Miller, who showed that on average, his worst days were Mondays and he could have made like 20% or so MORE just by NOT TRADING on Mondays. Not to mention getting an extra day off. Sometimes the solution is that simple...

So Neke, you should let someone take a hard look at your trades with an objective eye and figure out what has been going wrong in the last 8 months....



See in the down market Neke is back killing it!!!!
 
Well, I am glad the swings don't effect your health. Although I recall you mentioning earlier that it is hard to bear, so I am surprised you don't understand my inquiry...

Back in April you said:



But if you can sleep fine, then all is well....

depending on which side of the P and L, swings cause both euphoria and dysphoria. i have a hard time believing that it does not effect neke in some way based on his P and L posts...if he is completely immune then i want some of what he is taking!
 
In my last post I suggested Neke to take a break before he made 100%. Did he relax for some time after having had such a great month ? If he did not in my modest opinion he has some growing up to do ( we all do ) but there is a moment when you pause and enjoy your winnings.
 
See in the down market Neke is back killing it!!!!

Actually he has just lost 93K. Don't you pay attention? Post #266

Now a quick calculation shows that since last November (when the swings started) he is still up 115K, so averaging 10.5K per month. That is about 3-4% monthly return based on a 250K+ account....
 
Last edited:
Period Update for September (9/5/2015 - 10/2/2015) (4 weeks)

Awful month, down 172K (36%). Hard to explain what happened. I guess live by the sword, die by the same.


The first wave of losses was 10/11th of Sep for a total loss of 111K as I grew overconfident following last month's result, and veered into forbidden areas and strategies with leverage. Just when I thought I got that behind me, came this Monday (28th) whose 94K is already posted - recklessly overexposed on an ugly market day. The final wave is today (lost 56K) as I grew desperate to rescue something from the month - ended up with bigger losses.

Need time to reflect - big changes definitely coming in my trading rules / system checks.

Code:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Opening Balance:                	474,445
Net loss for period 		       (171,938)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance:                   		302,507


For the Thread YTD  2015 (1/3/2015 - 10/2/2015)

Opening Balance:                       256,099
Net gain   	    	                91,408 (Up 35%)
Cash Withdrawal			       (45,000)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance			       302,507
----------------------

TRADES

TYPE	Exit Date/Time		P/L

OPTION	2015-09-08-13-47-10	-1976.5
STOCK	2015-09-08-15-48-54	4825.5
STOCK	2015-09-10-11-15-54	-956.7
STOCK	2015-09-10-15-43-17	-31396.7
OPTION	2015-09-10-15-41-38	-29628.8
STOCK	2015-09-11-10-27-58	-9773.3
STOCK	2015-09-11-14-01-59	4848.8
STOCK	2015-09-11-13-05-25	-16368.1
STOCK	2015-09-11-15-01-50	-26005.4
STOCK	2015-09-11-15-58-55	-1910.2
STOCK	2015-09-14-10-43-14	1639.8
STOCK	2015-09-16-10-55-34	3041.2
STOCK	2015-09-16-10-52-55	2482.6
STOCK	2015-09-17-15-19-14	1985
OPTION	2015-09-18-11-50-30	-8845.2
OPTION	2015-09-18-09-42-08	-1950.9
STOCK	2015-09-18-12-22-51	2571.3
OPTION	2015-09-21-12-52-13	6297.9
OPTION	2015-09-21-12-52-37	16559.7
STOCK	2015-09-22-15-52-30	-1719.8
STOCK	2015-09-22-13-59-31	11768.9
STOCK	2015-09-22-15-51-06	-9869.3
STOCK	2015-09-22-15-55-15	-1563.2
STOCK	2015-09-22-15-55-16	-811.4
STOCK	2015-09-22-15-52-01	5278.5
STOCK	2015-09-23-12-16-34	-4907.8
STOCK	2015-09-23-15-42-01	-10630.7
STOCK	2015-09-23-15-42-29	-3966.9
STOCK	2015-09-23-15-42-55	-1309.2
STOCK	2015-09-23-15-48-44	-6638
OPTION	2015-09-23-12-10-00	49
OPTION	2015-09-24-14-48-38	21804.8
STOCK	2015-09-24-14-49-50	8077.6
OPTION	2015-09-24-14-40-18	18816
OPTION	2015-09-24-14-24-32	14711.8
OPTION	2015-09-25-13-49-17	22914.5
STOCK	2015-09-25-15-49-07	-715
STOCK	2015-09-25-15-55-13	-7851.7
STOCK	2015-09-25-15-19-08	3199.3
STOCK	2015-09-25-15-49-08	-774.8
STOCK	2015-09-25-15-58-13	-7463.1
STOCK	2015-09-28-15-44-54	1089.2
STOCK	2015-09-28-15-45-26	-4972.6
OPTION	2015-09-28-15-46-11	3389.8
STOCK	2015-09-28-15-44-42	-5778.5
STOCK	2015-09-28-15-01-04	-12541.4
STOCK	2015-09-28-15-45-09	-9811.3
OPTION	2015-09-28-15-48-01	-8923.6
OPTION	2015-09-28-15-46-39	-13534.7
OPTION	2015-09-28-15-46-58	-10178.7
OPTION	2015-09-28-15-31-05	-26214.6
OPTION	2015-09-28-15-48-55	-6605.1
OPTION	2015-09-29-12-17-32	2044.8
STOCK	2015-09-29-12-11-24	4635
OPTION	2015-09-29-14-58-51	1342
STOCK	2015-09-29-15-20-15	-785.4
OPTION	2015-09-29-14-51-41	5741.8
STOCK	2015-09-30-15-52-44	-14277.1
STOCK	2015-09-30-15-55-19	644
STOCK	2015-10-01-11-51-51	10674.5
STOCK	2015-10-01-15-20-37	4359.9
OPTION	2015-10-02-11-00-13	-25688.6
OPTION	2015-10-02-11-17-18	-18287.9
OPTION	2015-10-02-13-37-47	9902.9
OPTION	2015-10-02-15-26-48	-22007
 
Weekly Trades.png

You simply have to learn to manage your sizing.



Period Update for September (9/5/2015 - 10/2/2015) (4 weeks)

Awful month, down 172K (36%). Hard to explain what happened. I guess live by the sword, die by the same.


The first wave of losses was 10/11th of Sep for a total loss of 111K as I grew overconfident following last month's result, and veered into forbidden areas and strategies with leverage. Just when I thought I got that behind me, came this Monday (28th) whose 94K is already posted - recklessly overexposed on an ugly market day. The final wave is today (lost 56K) as I grew desperate to rescue something from the month - ended up with bigger losses.

Need time to reflect - big changes definitely coming in my trading rules / system checks.

Code:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Opening Balance:                    474,445
Net loss for period                (171,938)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance:                           302,507


For the Thread YTD  2015 (1/3/2015 - 10/2/2015)

Opening Balance:                       256,099
Net gain                               91,408 (Up 35%)
Cash Withdrawal                   (45,000)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance                   302,507
----------------------

TRADES

TYPE    Exit Date/Time        P/L

OPTION    2015-09-08-13-47-10    -1976.5
STOCK    2015-09-08-15-48-54    4825.5
STOCK    2015-09-10-11-15-54    -956.7
STOCK    2015-09-10-15-43-17    -31396.7
OPTION    2015-09-10-15-41-38    -29628.8
STOCK    2015-09-11-10-27-58    -9773.3
STOCK    2015-09-11-14-01-59    4848.8
STOCK    2015-09-11-13-05-25    -16368.1
STOCK    2015-09-11-15-01-50    -26005.4
STOCK    2015-09-11-15-58-55    -1910.2
STOCK    2015-09-14-10-43-14    1639.8
STOCK    2015-09-16-10-55-34    3041.2
STOCK    2015-09-16-10-52-55    2482.6
STOCK    2015-09-17-15-19-14    1985
OPTION    2015-09-18-11-50-30    -8845.2
OPTION    2015-09-18-09-42-08    -1950.9
STOCK    2015-09-18-12-22-51    2571.3
OPTION    2015-09-21-12-52-13    6297.9
OPTION    2015-09-21-12-52-37    16559.7
STOCK    2015-09-22-15-52-30    -1719.8
STOCK    2015-09-22-13-59-31    11768.9
STOCK    2015-09-22-15-51-06    -9869.3
STOCK    2015-09-22-15-55-15    -1563.2
STOCK    2015-09-22-15-55-16    -811.4
STOCK    2015-09-22-15-52-01    5278.5
STOCK    2015-09-23-12-16-34    -4907.8
STOCK    2015-09-23-15-42-01    -10630.7
STOCK    2015-09-23-15-42-29    -3966.9
STOCK    2015-09-23-15-42-55    -1309.2
STOCK    2015-09-23-15-48-44    -6638
OPTION    2015-09-23-12-10-00    49
OPTION    2015-09-24-14-48-38    21804.8
STOCK    2015-09-24-14-49-50    8077.6
OPTION    2015-09-24-14-40-18    18816
OPTION    2015-09-24-14-24-32    14711.8
OPTION    2015-09-25-13-49-17    22914.5
STOCK    2015-09-25-15-49-07    -715
STOCK    2015-09-25-15-55-13    -7851.7
STOCK    2015-09-25-15-19-08    3199.3
STOCK    2015-09-25-15-49-08    -774.8
STOCK    2015-09-25-15-58-13    -7463.1
STOCK    2015-09-28-15-44-54    1089.2
STOCK    2015-09-28-15-45-26    -4972.6
OPTION    2015-09-28-15-46-11    3389.8
STOCK    2015-09-28-15-44-42    -5778.5
STOCK    2015-09-28-15-01-04    -12541.4
STOCK    2015-09-28-15-45-09    -9811.3
OPTION    2015-09-28-15-48-01    -8923.6
OPTION    2015-09-28-15-46-39    -13534.7
OPTION    2015-09-28-15-46-58    -10178.7
OPTION    2015-09-28-15-31-05    -26214.6
OPTION    2015-09-28-15-48-55    -6605.1
OPTION    2015-09-29-12-17-32    2044.8
STOCK    2015-09-29-12-11-24    4635
OPTION    2015-09-29-14-58-51    1342
STOCK    2015-09-29-15-20-15    -785.4
OPTION    2015-09-29-14-51-41    5741.8
STOCK    2015-09-30-15-52-44    -14277.1
STOCK    2015-09-30-15-55-19    644
STOCK    2015-10-01-11-51-51    10674.5
STOCK    2015-10-01-15-20-37    4359.9
OPTION    2015-10-02-11-00-13    -25688.6
OPTION    2015-10-02-11-17-18    -18287.9
OPTION    2015-10-02-13-37-47    9902.9
OPTION    2015-10-02-15-26-48    -22007
Weekly Trades.png
 
You definitely have some gamble in your trading. Ed Seykota says everyone gets what they want from trading. Seems like you want excitement more than maximizing account growth. And maximizing account growth happens by avoiding excess volatility in the account.

A $100,000 account that gains 30% in a month and loses 30% the next month eventually goes towards zero. 100,000 -> 130,000 -> 91,000 -> 118,000 -> 83,000 -> 108,000 -> 76,000 -> 99,000 -> 69,000 -> 90,000 -> 63,000 ..........


Period Update for September (9/5/2015 - 10/2/2015) (4 weeks)

Awful month, down 172K (36%). Hard to explain what happened. I guess live by the sword, die by the same.

Need time to reflect - big changes definitely coming in my trading rules / system checks.

[/code]
 
12db_3921.png
The way to test any system is to reduce size, so that if you are wrong you don't lose a lot .. If your system works while testing then you can increase size on a weekly basis. In any case I follow a bunch of traders on Twitter and I have learnt a lot..
Reduce Size and Cut Losses Quick.. You can still make a lot of money trading small. The screenshot below if for 1 week and it is from Swatoptions.com

You can see from their style that they trade very small and so losses are small too and they are consistent..
 
Back
Top