2012: The Battle for Survival

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Quote from gmst:
If after every 220 trades, he is still in Drawdown, his edge is shit.

If you make 220 trades a month as a retail trader, the only people who will get rich will be your broker. Neke is already paying a fortune in commissions and he is probably making around 50 trades a month.
 
Quote from slumdog:

If you make 220 trades a month as a retail trader, the only people who will get rich will be your broker. Neke is already paying a fortune in commissions and he is probably making around 50 trades a month.

I mentioned DAY trader, not necessarily retail trader. Neke is paying fortune in commissions because he trades small volume and that too with Ameritrade, even if he switches to IB, he will cut his comm by 50%, he did this analysis himself few posts back.
 
Quote from slumdog:

If you make 220 trades a month as a retail trader, the only people who will get rich will be your broker. Neke is already paying a fortune in commissions and he is probably making around 50 trades a month.

Not necessarily, depends entirely on what the trader is doing and how much he is aiming to earn per trade.

There is some autocorrelation in single system return curves.. At times there are just losing days after losing days, call it being "out of sync" with the market, every 3-4 years a trader should expect to lose for a longer period. The assumption that a good daytrader makes extremely consistent monthly returns for decades is not the norm.
 
not sure how much credibility is left after your claim of Goldman's daily prop pnl. Certainly their pnl figures are a lot lower, per average day. I know for sure those figures you mentioned are dead wrong but you can easily find out through the last earnings report.

Quote from oraclewizard77:

Actually after you watch the screen for 10,000 hours most days, you should make money. Almost every week you will make money. At the very least 9 out of 12 months, you will make money.

Statistically this is proven on most tracking sites that keep over 1 year of trade data for winning systems.

For large company like Goldman, most days their prop desk make over $ 100 million in profit per day. Many of these are done by automated programs that reside on computer servers.

If you graduate from a good school, the average salary many of these companies are paying for Quants is $ 350,000 per year. That is for you to not risk any of your own money but help them build better computer programs.

They are not paying this much money for losing years. For the last 3 days, I made more money trading for less than 1 hour per day than I made for working 8 hours per day at a good paying job doing computer work. For those that trade all day, they are making over $ 1,000 per day min.
 
The earnings report does not break down the day to day numbers, but total revenue for 6 months was $ 18.7 billion for all activities. Anyway, that is pretty good for whatever they are doing.
 
I can assure you that they do not make 100 million on an average day (prop trading desk alone). By the way, the prop trading pnl should have been included in the footnotes unless I am completely off base here.


Quote from oraclewizard77:

The earnings report does not break down the day to day numbers, but total revenue for 6 months was $ 18.7 billion for all activities. Anyway, that is pretty good for whatever they are doing.
 
Quote from CalVolibrator:

I can assure you that they do not make 100 million on an average day (prop trading desk alone). By the way, the prop trading pnl should have been included in the footnotes unless I am completely off base here.

Prop trading by the banks is a dirty word these days, so i wouldn't be surprised if they hide it now by calling it something else.
 
some call it "Facilitation trading" ;-)

by the way, GS's, and for that matter any bank's, average daily pnl on the prop trading basis can be estimated by looking at their VaR numbers, 100mil is what GS makes on good days but not on average...


Quote from slumdog:

Prop trading by the banks is a dirty word these days, so i wouldn't be surprised if they hide it now by calling it something else.
 
Period Update for weeks 35-39 ended 10/5/2013

Another period of inconsistent returns just churning and paying slippage and commission. Down 2.6K for the month. Took 2.5K for the month just ended. Have relied exclusively on my tactical trades (all criteria entered way before market opens) as I am not able to trade from my regular job anymore. Might just check my positions say a couple of times at lunch and near close.

Code:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Opening Balance:                	 98,210
Net loss for period 		         (2,633)
Cash Withdrawal				 (2,500)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance:                   		 93,077


For the Thread Year-to-Date  1/6/2013 - 10/5/2013

Opening Balance:                   	83,156
Net gain		    	        32,321 (Up 39%)
Cash Withdrawal			       (22,400)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance			        93,077
----------------------


TRADES

TYPE	Exite Date/Time		P/L

STOCK	2013-09-03-09-59-20	1348.03
OPTION	2013-09-03-09-59-49	1644.31
OPTION	2013-09-04-12-23-42	-1580.95
OPTION	2013-09-04-12-14-35	-592.89
STOCK	2013-09-04-11-05-37	-549.46
STOCK	2013-09-04-13-04-49	-418.32
STOCK	2013-09-04-14-16-43	299.01
STOCK	2013-09-05-11-02-21	-2475.51
OPTION	2013-09-05-13-36-09	1934.31
OPTION	2013-09-05-11-24-58	4674.21
OPTION	2013-09-06-10-17-34	-2292.67
OPTION	2013-09-06-11-15-38	9802.89
STOCK	2013-09-06-10-54-32	-320.81
STOCK	2013-09-06-14-54-05	287.79
STOCK	2013-09-06-15-30-39	-5574.5
STOCK	2013-09-11-15-49-02	411.3
OPTION	2013-09-12-12-25-25	413.3
OPTION	2013-09-13-12-35-58	-4370.03
OPTION	2013-09-16-11-06-17	-1578.09
STOCK	2013-09-20-11-10-05	-1723.71
OPTION	2013-09-20-10-26-03	-2017.52
OPTION	2013-09-20-11-26-48	-1561.01
OPTION	2013-09-23-10-14-24	-1770.77
STOCK	2013-09-24-12-44-17	346.97
OPTION	2013-09-24-12-35-18	1475.47
OPTION	2013-09-27-12-30-15	-299.27
OPTION	2013-09-27-13-57-28	-464.29
OPTION	2013-09-30-12-57-56	-191.58
OPTION	2013-10-02-13-45-21	-654.1
OPTION	2013-10-03-15-08-01	-2659.06
OPTION	2013-10-03-10-15-36	1717.81
OPTION	2013-10-04-13-34-14	4105.94
 
Still a nice overall return..perhaps knowing you can't trade at work will help you keep disciplined to just taking the highest probability trades and not over trading which with our commission rates...is the bane of my existence.
 
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