BACKTEST! ACT WITH DUE DILIGENCE!
Look at the last week and see if you could have had good entries with T's system.
Look for the best results by testing different exits. There are scads of them. If you want to be cautious, use a 2.5 points Target on the ES. See how often you would have hit with that Target. Maybe you're more comfortable with 1.5 points. Then see what retracements there would have been before achieving that target so you know where your protective stop needs to be. Remember every trade has one entry but two exits.
Try candlestick patterns for reversal signals.
Try something like a 6-bar CCI or 3-10-1 MACD to signal reversals. The methods are endless.
Write down each exit strategy and the results. When you're done, compare the results. Look for aberrations to confirm the validity of your results.
Then apply your rules farther back in time to confirm whether or not you would have made money.
It's work and it should be. If it were easy, everyone would do it.
Sometimes I wonder if people want to make money or just criticize those who have done their homework and do make money.
Good cheer,
JD Schaefer
Look at the last week and see if you could have had good entries with T's system.
Look for the best results by testing different exits. There are scads of them. If you want to be cautious, use a 2.5 points Target on the ES. See how often you would have hit with that Target. Maybe you're more comfortable with 1.5 points. Then see what retracements there would have been before achieving that target so you know where your protective stop needs to be. Remember every trade has one entry but two exits.
Try candlestick patterns for reversal signals.
Try something like a 6-bar CCI or 3-10-1 MACD to signal reversals. The methods are endless.
Write down each exit strategy and the results. When you're done, compare the results. Look for aberrations to confirm the validity of your results.
Then apply your rules farther back in time to confirm whether or not you would have made money.
It's work and it should be. If it were easy, everyone would do it.
Sometimes I wonder if people want to make money or just criticize those who have done their homework and do make money.
Good cheer,
JD Schaefer
