$2,000 to $200,000 in 2020 at 2.00% per day.

@tiddlywinks @RubberBand @7out @old coot

You are all trying to get me back to the futures platform. Thanks for your encouragement. I love trading, and am seriously considering your words. But I have to set a few things straight:

1) Mr. Winks, I don't want to argue again about the position sizing. IF I was scared because of the volatility, then I indeed did the right thing by scaling back until I was comfortable, since 90% of trading is psychological. I am brave enough to put my real trading in front of some pretty scrutinizing folks here on ET, and I am brave enough to resume the scaling. Had I kept going, there would be absolutely no way to keep growing at 2% per day without proper scaling, so it was a problem that would have fixed itself . . . .

2) Mr. Band, (a) the purpose of growing the account slowly and the purpose of the whole journal actually was to prepare me psychologically for larger profit - and loss - days. The volatility was real and it scared me, but not into inaction, just into smaller position sizes. (b) Good summary of the challenges of real estate agency!!! I agree that trading may be the better way at this time - if I have to choose. I am consulting the oracles now... (c) I am not scared I can't replicate my performance. No way. I am not running away because of fear of trading. --- I actually DO need the money. That is why I withdrew it. I am scared of running up my credit cards at 18% interest in order to pay my bills. And cash advances are like 23% interest.

3) Mr. Out, I do recognize the speed and liquidity of the trading. With the proper sized account, I know I can make $300 to $500+ per day, and that would certainly stop the hemorrhaging.

4) Mr. Coot, Fascinating story! You were extremely kind to sell your truck to help the guy. Indeed he killed the golden goose. So sad and short sighted he was.

In summary, I agree that it is sad I had to liquidate - when trading may give me MUCH more upside than real estate, especially in this market. I am contemplating your (mostly) kind words seriously about getting back in quickly. I wasn't planning on staying away forever... I realize that I can keep doing both, as I was previously, especially if I only trade the first two hours of the day. If I get more money sooner than later, how will I get it? Perhaps I need to be a bit creative. I am not scared about trading, but I must be prudent and provide for my family without risking foreclosure. I was actually close to losing my house during the recession 10 years ago because of real estate investments that went bad fast, and don't want to go through that ever again. The PTSD from that is still very much alive.

What will I do? It appears I have 4 options:

(1) Find $10k and start trading immediately again for the full trading day, really focusing, and forget real estate completely?

(2) Focus on real estate until things stabilize again before resuming trading?

(3) Forget trading completely and spend ALL my time doing real estate?

(4) Find $10k, trade my best for two hours each day, and continue to do real estate the other 6 to 8 working hours of the day.

Right now I am leaning toward Option 4. But I would have to find the money.

I will decide soon.

sstheo

p.s. I just ran the numbers again. If I start with $10,000 and grow about 2% per day, I would average about $250/day and have about $5,000 profit at the end of the first month. This is great news and certainly my bills would get paid. Interestingly, with $10k, I would actually be resuming approximately where I would have been at this time if I had not stopped (assuming success), so 2% per day still gets me to $200,000 by Dec 31. But right now, that goal is obviously meaningless if I can make $5,000 per month and stay afloat.
It's a great plan but not sure if you, it anyone, can consistently make 2% a day?
 
It's a great plan but not sure if you, it anyone, can consistently make 2% a day?

The official goal is 2% average growth over all trading days. If you look at the old progress report, you can see that I was close to 2% average, even though i had many losing days.

I know a guy who trades with 50 ES contracts on a daily basis. So if I am successful, I have a LONG way to go in my scale up process. Obviously there is an upper limit, but I will push the 2% as long as possible.

I am trading 1 or several micros per position, up to a maximum of 1 micro per $1000 in the account. So right now, I can trade a maximum of .5 micros. At $10,000, I will be able to trade 1 E-mini, if I choose. The micros are great for baby steps, but they cost almost twice as much as an E-mini to use. $.74 per RT per micro x10 = $7.40 vs $4.10 RT for E-mini. So I am motivated to get to the E-mini as soon as possible.
 
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The official goal is 2% average growth over all trading days. If you look at the old progress report, you can see that I was close to 2% average, even though i had many losing days.

I know a guy who trade with 50 ES contracts on a daily basis. So if I am successful, I have a LONG way to go in my scale up process. Obviously there is an upper limit, but I will push the 2% as long as possible.

I am trading 1 or several micros per position, up to a maximum of 1 micro per $1000 in the account. So right now, I can trade a maximum of .5 micros. At $10,000, I will be able to trade 1 E-mini, if I choose. The micros are great for baby steps, but they cost almost twice as much as an E-mini to use. $.74 per RT per micro x10 = $7.40 vs $4.10 RT for E-mini. So I am motivated to get to the E-mini as soon as possible.

Okay good I'm glad you're back. Yes the fees are double in micros, but remember the path, I'm sure you do and the "as soon as possible" part is more of form of expression then anything. I tend to read everything literally. I'll send you invisible vibrations that you can hear in your head but not in your ears.

I'm looking forward to this.
 
I found this pic again on my computer. I find it highly motivational. My account at $5k still feels like a tiny acorn, but this kind of growth is my goal:

Keeler_Oak_Tree.jpg


That looks like a $1,000,000 account to me... or 200x growth from my newly rebooted acorn of an account, starting with "just" $5k.

But just like that oak tree, I must grow this account ring by ring, day by day, trade by trade, with patience, wisdom, and amazing discipline.

This is the essence of my journal: How to grow steadily - taking advantage of the opportunities in the market, but doing so carefully and safely. Good trading is certainly a unique and challenging balance, a blend of high-probability trades and fierce money management. Capital preservation is the priority, but profits are a close second.
 
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Done for the day. Up over $100. I stayed away from the NFP report as it usually kills me. And I know if I keep trading, now that I have met my daily goal, I will probably screw it up big time. Have a great long weekend!
 
Back again also - Wishing you the best Theo! You are off to a great start - I plan to start the new $75K Evaluation with Earn 2 Trade next Tuesday, 9/8 and start my first journal at Elite Trader to record its progress as well.
 
The official goal is 2% average growth over all trading days. If you look at the old progress report, you can see that I was close to 2% average, even though i had many losing days.

I know a guy who trades with 50 ES contracts on a daily basis. So if I am successful, I have a LONG way to go in my scale up process. Obviously there is an upper limit, but I will push the 2% as long as possible.

I am trading 1 or several micros per position, up to a maximum of 1 micro per $1000 in the account. So right now, I can trade a maximum of .5 micros. At $10,000, I will be able to trade 1 E-mini, if I choose. The micros are great for baby steps, but they cost almost twice as much as an E-mini to use. $.74 per RT per micro x10 = $7.40 vs $4.10 RT for E-mini. So I am motivated to get to the E-mini as soon as possible.
Thanks, I'm coming from a spot forex and stock options background.

Spot forex was patchy. Ups and downs, no consistency.

I've been profitable with options. They work much better for me than spot forex. I just buy puts and calls, mainly for defined risk.

I've looked at futures, tried it on the CME demo. Even using micros I was amazed at how quickly you can lose money! What I've also seen is that, if you know what you are doing, then you can make 2% on average a day, I'll agree with you on that.

How would you recommend I start with futures? I'd have an account size of around $3,000.
 
How would you recommend I start with futures? I'd have an account size of around $3,000.


Just trade 1 MES (Emini micro), and see after 1-2 months or at least 50-100 trades if there is any consistency in your results. If the results are good/very good, you can slowly increase size. Once it is clear that you dowell you can compound and will trade in a few month 100 ES contracts at the time without any problem. But major huge problem is consistency.

PS:I do not understand why you stop trading when your daily profit is made. Your trading system is normally generating trades all the time, so don't stop trading. Take all generated trades. If you think you can protect your profit by stopping when the profit target is reached, you are wrong. You never know if the next trade will be good or bad, so stopping after the daily profit is in is not protecting you at all.
If you test a trading system, you test all trades generated by the system. If then you skip a lot of these trades in live trading, you cannot trust anymore the stats of your backtests as you don't trade like you backtested.
Friday you made your $100, but I am sure you could make much more. So you changed your risk reward ratio from your backtesting in a negative way. The only way to make good money is to let your profits run, but you cut them off. Most traders make money mainly from their big profitable trades, and these trades you don't do. And if you do them, you cut off your profits for your $100 target which is just the opposite of what a professional trader would do.

It would be interesting to see your trades from friday and compare them with what the market did. Can you post them?
 
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I took several trades yesterday and today, but I am down about $10 from Friday.

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Oh well. I am not worried. I have many more trading days ahead, and the current market volatility is certainly a bit higher than normal.

This is certainly preferable to the large losses suffered by the Buy & Hold crowd in the last 7 days - who have certainly used more than their quota of cuss words and "hopium" and Prayers-to-Powell to "Stimulate!"

Monday was a holiday, and yesterday was anything but normal. We had a HUGE windstorm in Utah with 90 MPH+ winds at times. My neighbor lost 4 large trees. One almost hit her house. While I traded with the wind howling, expecting the power to go out at any moment, I have to admit I was a bit distracted. Next time I am distracted, I will just not trade.

@Pkay I recommend you paper trade for at least two weeks until you are profitable 5 consecutive 5 days. Then trade live with one micro contract. Use the MES because it has more volume and consequently less slippage. Do exactly what you did on sim. Once you have 5 consecutive positive days, then try 2 micros per trade. I recommend a maximum of 1 micro per $1000 in your account (what I am doing), so stay with 3 max for now until you get to $4,000 and go to 4 micros.

@virtusa I stopped when I met my $100 goal on Friday because I have another job as a real estate broker. But even if I were trading full-time, setting a goal and stopping when reached works well for me. I have learned that often as the trading day progresses, volume gets smaller and the moves have less consistency and more chop - so I don't do as well. Also, my "stupid" factor certainly increases by the second as the day wears on.
And going forward, I will rarely post trades. I have refined my methods and don't need to dissect them any longer - just execute with precision and honor my tight stops. Also, I just don't have time to get detailed any longer with my journal. But thanks for offering to help.
 
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