The SC will find trump has no criminal immunity in one case and in the other will find that since Congress codified insurrection as a federal offense then Section 5 gives the authority to determine how to enforece Section 3 of the 14th Amendment and find that Colorado has no authority to remove a president from a ballot based on non conviction of insurrection yet has authority to remove a state official who WAS charged with offenses related to Jan 6th.
I too am of the opinion that the S.C. will find a way to invalidate Colorado's removal of Trump from the Republican Primary Ballot. I don't agree, however, that they will conclude that the ex-president has to be convicted of insurrection in a regular Court of Law under the Federal Statute to be disqualified under section 3..
I doubt the Court wants to look that silly in the eyes of the American people. Everyone knows Trump was behind the Jan6th insurrection. My guess is that the Court will find a more esoteric argument that does not fly so badly in the face of reality. In addition to having been found to be an Insurrectionist by the majority of the American People, Trump has also been found to be an insurrectionist by the House's Jan 6th Committee after one of the most extensive investigations in our History,
and was yet again found to have engaged in insurrection by the lower Colorado court in a one-week trial.
Section 5 says: "The Congress shall have power to enforce, by appropriate legislation, the provisions of this article". This refers to the entire article, not only Section 3!
Section 5 does NOT give
sole power of enforcement to the Congress.
Of course using Section 5 to again give Congress the authority it already has to enforce the Constitution is superfluous. Congress has had, since 1789, the power to see to it, via legislation if necessary, that our laws are enforced. Section 5 is redundant.
Obviously the only,
prima facie interpretation of Section 5 that can be naturally invoked, without artifice, is as clear as Section 3. I.e., Congress has the same power they normally have to enforce our laws. Their is no indication that other Federal and State Bodies, do not also have power of enforcement via their own respective means... Every State's Governor takes an oath to support BOTH the States Constitution
and the Federal Constitution.
The Federal Judiciary is one of the protectors of our Constitution; it is not the only protector however...
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*It's a popular myth, too often parroted by politicians, that all three branches of the Government are "Co-Equal" [the non-word "Co-equal" is itself nonsense.] The Legislative Branch (particularly the house) has the most power of the three Branches of our democratic Republic. (see Chomsky) But it is also the Branch that has shown itself to be least capable of holding on to its Constitutionally derived powers. By failure to wield its power due to willful Congressional dysfunction, the House has unwittingly ceded some of its power to the Executive and Judicial Branches. The House can seize back its erstwhile power whenever it chooses [in regard to the House's control over the S.C., see Article III, Section 2., Paragraph 2]. However since Newt Gingrich's invoking of "My Way or the Highway" strong-arm-tactics, the House has been too dysfunctional to do much of anything whenever the Republican party has had a majority. Gingrich broke the Government (That will be his legacy.) It's been broken ever since whenever the Republicans are in the Majority. Boehner, Ryan, and McCarthy all quit or were ousted due to an unmanageable Republican Majority --- looks as though Johnson's fate will be similar. The primary tool of the burn-the-House-down faction of the Republican, Gingrich-like, legislative terrorists is the absurd debt limit legislation.