100bps cut tomorrow factored in already?

jjk2 · Mar 17, 2008

not even the fed will be able to save usa, they are only making the death slower

madmaxer · Mar 17, 2008

Quote from jjk2:

not even the fed will be able to save usa, they are only making the death slower

Or postponing it to after election, That would be a considerable achievement if they can.

If fed cuts .75 or higher tomorrow and oil comes down below or around 100. then we might expect a short term pop till earnings come out.

If not, I can see ES around 1150 in June contract.

frank grimes · Mar 17, 2008

If (when) we close below 1270 all bets are off.

stock_trad3r · Mar 17, 2008

LOL the fed is gonna slash rates tom. and the market will surge. Today is your only hope shorts of a bear market. Won;t happen though.

I don;t fail.

newbunch · Mar 17, 2008

Fed Fund Futures say 26% chance of 125bp and 74% chance of 100bp.

madmaxer · Mar 17, 2008

Quote from newbunch:

Fed Fund Futures say 26% chance of 125bp and 74% chance of 100bp.

Where is your source?

If you believe in this, Go Long now. !

newbunch · Mar 17, 2008

Quote from madmaxer:

Where is your source?

If you believe in this, Go Long now. !

Here's an article about it:
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/sto...x?guid={47CD3B6D-CEFD-4AEB-9107-E3BA3A85C884}

For current numbers, go here: http://www.cbot.com/cbot/pub/page/0,3181,1563,00.html

dr. fill · Mar 17, 2008

Quote from newbunch:

Fed Fund Futures say 26% chance of 125bp and 74% chance of 100bp.

FED is running out of room to work with rates. Soon they'll be coming up with liquidity solutions as obscure as the instruments that got us into this mess.

Aaron Copland · Mar 17, 2008

Quote from frank grimes:

Who cares what the fed does? If we don't take 1270 out today, it will be tommorrow. I think the fed is irrelevant at this point.

I agree, I can't get over the every week actions. This is a pure sign of panic. I think they have lost control are they would not be taking such extreme measures.

S2007S · Mar 17, 2008

Quote from newbunch:

Fed Fund Futures say 26% chance of 125bp and 74% chance of 100bp.

Im hoping they dont move rates in any direction, thats what they should do, the dow is gaining now, maybe they will realize that they dont have to move rates after seeing the market rebound on some of the worst financial news in history....